UPB
UPB
$2.80 · scored 03:01 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 41/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 41/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−28.2 composite
Evidence
41 / 100 · top 77% today
295 contracts · quality 48 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.33% · n=13,788
What traded today · weight 62%
−31.7 pts
72 calls · 24.4%223 puts
bias −51.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.6 pts
239 call OI · 54.7%198 put OI
bias +9.4 × 0.38
Equals
−28.2
90% of the score comes from today’s volume, 10% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring UPB today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 41 (23th pct) · quality 48 · 295 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.33% avg, n=13,788
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on UPB
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $2.80 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 167).
We haven’t checked a call on UPB yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
UPB
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−28.2evidence 41
has paid −0.33% · n=13,788
Why it’s −28
−31.7 volume · 24% calls+3.6 OI · 55% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 41 (23th pct) · quality 48 · 295 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on UPB
What traded today · 62%
−31.7 pts
72 calls · 223 puts · bias −51.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.6 pts
239 call OI · 198 put OI · bias +9.4
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about UPB
Not enough tape history on UPB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.