USFD USFD
$102.15 · +0.00% vs $102.15 close · scored 02:24 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.6 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 73% today
205 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+61.4 pts
204 calls · 99.5% 1 puts
bias +99.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−27.8 pts
346 call OI · 13.4% 2,239 put OI
bias −73.2 × 0.38
Equals
+33.6
69% of the score comes from today’s volume, 31% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring USFD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 47 · 205 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on USFD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $102.15 highlighted. The $100 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 982).
05 Our record on USFD Proof 22 Oct · 4h
$102.15 → $102.15
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
USFD
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +34
+61.4 volume · 100% calls−27.8 OI · 13% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 47 · 205 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on USFD
What traded today · 62%
+61.4 pts
204 calls · 1 puts · bias +99.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−27.8 pts
346 call OI · 2,239 put OI · bias −73.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$102.15 → $102.15
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about USFD
Not enough tape history on USFD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our USFD record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?