VICI VICI Properties Inc
$22.83 · +0.07% vs $22.82 close · scored 15:49 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.7 composite+9.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 52% today
182 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.0 pts
116 calls · 63.7% 66 puts
bias +27.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.7 pts
25,770 call OI · 66.6% 12,897 put OI
bias +33.3 × 0.38
Equals
+29.7
57% of the score comes from today’s volume, 43% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −10.14% · tape +7.2 · corr 0.29
▼ low −17.8 ◆ +50.9 in a day ● peak +38 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $24 $23 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 10.14% while the tape has firmed 7.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 60 · 182 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VICI’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on VICI is poor 25% hit rate on 281 closed calls · payoff 0.89×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $22.83 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 15,760). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on VICI Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$22.83 → $22.83
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$22.79 → $22.83
+0.18% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$22.79 → $22.83
+0.18% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$22.79 → $22.79
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 146 of these 281 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 9.02 · fwd 8.24 Beta 0.679
52w $22.54–$33.01 IV rank —
Ask about VICI answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +11 to +30 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +14.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +32.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $22.73 to $22.64. It’s at +29.7 now.+17.0 from volume and +12.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our VICI record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?
What our data projects
−0.69 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#618 of 635. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
VICI Properties Inc · Real Estate
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +30
+17.0 volume · 64% calls+12.7 OI · 67% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +50.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $24 $23 Price −10.14%, tape +7.2 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 60 · 182 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VICI’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+17.0 pts
116 calls · 66 puts · bias +27.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.7 pts
25,770 call OI · 12,897 put OI · bias +33.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −10.14% · tape +7.2 · corr 0.29
▼ low −17.8 ◆ +50.9 in a day ● peak +38 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $24 $23 Over 30 days, price has fallen 10.14% while the tape has firmed 7.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
25% hit rate · 281 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$22.83 → $22.83
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$22.79 → $22.83
+0.18% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$22.79 → $22.83
+0.18% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$22.79 → $22.79
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VICI
Why did the score rise from +11 to +30 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +14.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +32.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $22.73 to $22.64. It’s at +29.7 now.+17.0 from volume and +12.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our VICI record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?