VLY
VLY
$12.48 · scored 05:36 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−63.7 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 49% today
391 contracts · quality 57 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−25.8 pts
114 calls · 29.2%277 puts
bias −41.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−37.9 pts
5 call OI · 0.2%2,548 put OI
bias −99.6 × 0.38
Equals
−63.7
41% of the score comes from today’s volume, 59% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring VLY today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 56 (51th pct) · quality 57 · 391 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=61,233
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on VLY
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $12.48 highlighted. The $6 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,400). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on VLY yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
VLY
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−63.7evidence 56
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
Why it’s −64
−25.8 volume · 29% calls−37.9 OI · 0% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 56 (51th pct) · quality 57 · 391 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on VLY
What traded today · 62%
−25.8 pts
114 calls · 277 puts · bias −41.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−37.9 pts
5 call OI · 2,548 put OI · bias −99.6
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $6 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about VLY
Not enough tape history on VLY for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.