VTR Ventas Inc
$81.36 · +0.00% vs $81.36 close · scored 10:50 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 50/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 50/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.0 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
50 / 100 · top 62% today
112 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.7 pts
72 calls · 64.3% 40 puts
bias +28.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.3 pts
7,202 call OI · 64.8% 3,906 put OI
bias +29.7 × 0.38
Equals
+29.0
61% of the score comes from today’s volume, 39% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.30% · tape −38.9 · corr 0.07
▼ low −36.6 ◆ +32.0 in a day ● peak +29 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $87 $81 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.30% while the tape has faded 38.9 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (38th pct) · quality 74 · 112 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on VTR is poor 15% hit rate on 250 closed calls · payoff 2.35×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $81.36. The $92.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,355).
2 Oct · 4h
$84.01 → $84.01
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.73 → $83.73
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.73 → $83.73
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$83.95 → $83.95
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 196 of these 250 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 170.58 · fwd 98.76 Beta 0.777
52w $66.93–$101.60 IV rank —
Ask about VTR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +7 to +29 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +7.3 on 1 Oct, then rose to +29.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $85.02 to $83.73. It’s at +29.0 now.+17.7 from volume and +11.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 10:50 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our VTR record what it is? What’s the $92.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.22 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#422 of 635 · helped by price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $92.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Ventas Inc · Real Estate
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +29
+17.7 volume · 64% calls+11.3 OI · 65% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +32.0 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $87 $81 Price −9.30%, tape −38.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (38th pct) · quality 74 · 112 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+17.7 pts
72 calls · 40 puts · bias +28.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.3 pts
7,202 call OI · 3,906 put OI · bias +29.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.30% · tape −38.9 · corr 0.07
▼ low −36.6 ◆ +32.0 in a day ● peak +29 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $87 $81 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.30% while the tape has faded 38.9 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
15% hit rate · 250 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$84.01 → $84.01
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.73 → $83.73
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.73 → $83.73
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$83.95 → $83.95
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $92.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VTR
Why did the score rise from +7 to +29 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +7.3 on 1 Oct, then rose to +29.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $85.02 to $83.73. It’s at +29.0 now.+17.7 from volume and +11.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 10:50 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our VTR record what it is? What’s the $92.5 wall?