WELL Welltower Inc
$224.66 · +0.73% vs $223.04 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+4.2 composite+36.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 52% today
1,007 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
What traded today · weight 62%
−3.9 pts
472 calls · 46.9% 535 puts
bias −6.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.1 pts
7,484 call OI · 60.6% 4,863 put OI
bias +21.2 × 0.38
Equals
+4.2
32% of the score comes from today’s volume, 68% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.11% · tape −71.3 · corr 0.64
▼ low −37.0 ● peak +76 ◆ −72.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $244 $221 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.11% while the tape has faded 71.3 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 77 · 1,007 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led WELL’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.30, n=44)
against Our record on WELL is poor 12% hit rate on 286 closed calls · payoff 0.58×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $224.66 highlighted. The $220 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,661). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on WELL Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$224.66 → $224.66
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$223.04 → $224.66
+0.73% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$227.71 → $224.66
−1.34% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$223.04 → $224.66
+0.73% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 153 of these 286 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 107.43 · fwd 72.69 Beta 0.801
52w $163.75–$255.20 IV rank —
Ask about WELL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −30 to +4 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −32.1 on 2 Oct, then rose to +14.9 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $227.10 to $227.92. It’s at +4.2 now.−3.9 from volume and +8.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our WELL record what it is? What’s the $220 wall?
What our data projects
−0.14 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#362 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days), composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $220 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Welltower Inc · Real Estate
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+4.2 evidence
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
Why it’s +4
−3.9 volume · 47% calls+8.1 OI · 61% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −72.5 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $244 $221 Price −6.11%, tape −71.3 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 77 · 1,007 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led WELL’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.30, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−3.9 pts
472 calls · 535 puts · bias −6.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.1 pts
7,484 call OI · 4,863 put OI · bias +21.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.11% · tape −71.3 · corr 0.64
▼ low −37.0 ● peak +76 ◆ −72.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $244 $221 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.11% while the tape has faded 71.3 points. They agree.
12% hit rate · 286 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$224.66 → $224.66
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$223.04 → $224.66
+0.73% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$227.71 → $224.66
−1.34% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$223.04 → $224.66
+0.73% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $220 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about WELL
Why did the score rise from −30 to +4 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −32.1 on 2 Oct, then rose to +14.9 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $227.10 to $227.92. It’s at +4.2 now.−3.9 from volume and +8.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our WELL record what it is? What’s the $220 wall?