WERN WERN
$32.72 · scored 08:08 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 37/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 37/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−89.6 composite
Evidence
37 / 100 · top 82% today
2 contracts · quality 21 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.73% · n=18,463
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0% 2 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−27.6 pts
21 call OI · 13.7% 132 put OI
bias −72.5 × 0.38
Equals
−89.6
69% of the score comes from today’s volume, 31% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring WERN today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 37 (18th pct) · quality 21 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.73% avg, n=18,463
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on WERN
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $32.72 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 128). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on WERN Proof 13 Oct · 4h
$32.72 → $32.72
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
WERN
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−89.6 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.73% · n=18,463
Why it’s −90
−62.0 volume · 0% calls−27.6 OI · 14% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 37 (18th pct) · quality 21 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.73% avg, n=18,463
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on WERN
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 2 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−27.6 pts
21 call OI · 132 put OI · bias −72.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$32.72 → $32.72
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about WERN
Not enough tape history on WERN for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our WERN record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?