WM Waste Management Inc
$209.88 · −0.10% vs $210.10 close · scored 11:25 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 59/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 59/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.9 composite+9.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
59 / 100 · top 40% today
394 contracts · quality 59 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
What traded today · weight 62%
+1.6 pts
202 calls · 51.3% 192 puts
bias +2.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+7.3 pts
5,892 call OI · 59.6% 3,995 put OI
bias +19.2 × 0.38
Equals
+8.9
18% of the score comes from today’s volume, 82% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.06% · tape −16.9 · corr -0.07
● peak +49 ▼ low −46.0 ◆ +52.1 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-08 10-09 $222 $203 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.06% while the tape has faded 16.9 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 59 · 394 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
pass Tape has led price tape has led WM’s price by 2 days (r=0.32, n=43)
against Our record on WM is poor 28% hit rate on 293 closed calls · payoff 1.80×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $209.88 highlighted. The $210 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,082). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$209.88 → $209.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$210.10 → $209.88
−0.10% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$208.94 → $210.10
+0.56% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$210.10 → $210.10
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 165 of these 293 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 29.46 · fwd 23.53 Beta 0.412
52w $194.11–$248.13 IV rank —
Ask about WM answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −2 to +9 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −0.6 on 3 Oct, then rose to +22.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $203.94 to $203.94. It’s at +8.9 now.+1.6 from volume and +7.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 11:25 method · 62/38
Compare with ABM Why is our WM record what it is? What’s the $210 wall?
What our data projects
−0.27 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#463 of 635 · helped by tape composite, last day's move, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $210 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Waste Management Inc · Commercial Services & Supplies
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.9 evidence
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
Why it’s +9
+1.6 volume · 51% calls+7.3 OI · 60% calls
44 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +52.1 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-08 10-09 $222 $203 Price −4.06%, tape −16.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 59 · 394 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
against Our record on WM is poor 28% hit rate on 293 closed calls · payoff 1.80×
What traded today · 62%
+1.6 pts
202 calls · 192 puts · bias +2.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+7.3 pts
5,892 call OI · 3,995 put OI · bias +19.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.06% · tape −16.9 · corr -0.07
● peak +49 ▼ low −46.0 ◆ +52.1 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-08 10-09 $222 $203 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.06% while the tape has faded 16.9 points. They agree.
28% hit rate · 293 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$209.88 → $209.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$210.10 → $209.88
−0.10% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$208.94 → $210.10
+0.56% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$210.10 → $210.10
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $210 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about WM
Why did the score rise from −2 to +9 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −0.6 on 3 Oct, then rose to +22.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $203.94 to $203.94. It’s at +8.9 now.+1.6 from volume and +7.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 11:25 method · 62/38
Compare with ABM Why is our WM record what it is? What’s the $210 wall?