Today · research lens · was /top-picks
RESEARCHNot a recommendation. Shown because the data is interesting, and labelled because it hasn’t worked.
15 names where price has led the tape. As a basket, it has lost.
Membership is one thing: this name’s own price has historically led its own options tape. Tracked as a basket since launch: 4,302 positions, 15% win rate, payoff 0.90×. We show it as a lens, not a product.
4,302
positions tracked
15
open now
15%
win rate
0.90×
payoff ratio
−0.04
score → return corr
| # | Name | Lead/lag | Read | Conf/Qual | Spot | Calibration | Transformer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CTRM | −0.87 · 1d | −25.9 | 27/31 | $2.06 | edge −0.18% · n=57,033 | Pro | |
| 2 | APOG | −0.80 · 1d | −10.3 | 43/75 | $35.84 | edge +0.28% · n=30,875 | Pro | |
| 3 | SPG | −0.45 · 1d | −48.8 | 53/59 | $200.76 | edge −0.18% · n=57,033 | Pro | |
| …2 more · ordered by lead/lag strength · the full list is Pro | ||||||||
The transformer forecast is context only and never ranks or selects. Lead/lag is from each name’s own tape_history; calibration from tape calibration buckets.