AAL

$12.96 · −0.96% vs $13.09 close · scored 22:09 · fresh

The read

Neutral, moderately evidenced.

−100 bearish0bullish +100

+3.1 composite

Evidence

69 / 100 · top 21% today

53,338 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00

neutral · +0.27% · n=9,103

Why it’s +3

Method

What traded today · weight 62%

−1.5 pts

26,031 calls · 48.8%27,307 puts

bias −2.4 × 0.62

What’s on the books · weight 38%

+4.6 pts

161,225 call OI · 56.1%126,347 put OI

bias +12.1 × 0.38

Equals

+3.1

24% of the score comes from today’s volume, 76% from open interest. Disagree with either? See the method.

What changed: 2 days of tape against price

14d 43d 90d 365d · Reader

tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves

Should you trust it?

note

Some evidence, not a lot

confidence 69 (79th pct) · quality 82 · 53,338 contracts

note

Jumpy

0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66

note

Neutral reads make no call

neutral · balanced · high liquidity → +0.27% avg, n=9,103

note

Too few of our calls checked

3 closed calls on AAL

Where the positions sit

No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.

Spot $12.96. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 52,387). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.

Our record on AAL

Proof

hit rate · 3 closed

—

payoff

+0.00%

avg return

2 Oct · 4h

$13.30 → $13.30

+0.00%flat

2 Oct · 4h

$13.37 → $13.37

+0.00%flat

1 Oct · 4h

$13.09 → $13.09

+0.00%flat

One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 3 of these 3 calls were flat.

Catalysts & context

EPS surprise · last 4 quarters

No reported quarters stored yet.

Street —Next report — P/E —Beta — 52w —IV rank —

Research · never used to score

Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.