AAL AAL
$13.09 · scored 18:02 · fresh
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+10.2 composite
Evidence
69 / 100 · top 19% today
15,647 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.24% · n=8,456
What traded today · weight 62%
+5.4 pts
8,499 calls · 54.3% 7,148 puts
bias +8.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+4.9 pts
156,053 call OI · 56.4% 120,576 put OI
bias +12.8 × 0.38
Equals
+10.2
52% of the score comes from today’s volume, 48% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AAL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 69 (81th pct) · quality 82 · 15,647 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.24% avg, n=8,456
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on AAL
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $13.09. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 51,965). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
1 Oct · 4h
$13.09 → $13.09
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
AAL
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+10.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.24% · n=8,456
Why it’s +10
+5.4 volume · 54% calls+4.9 OI · 56% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 69 (81th pct) · quality 82 · 15,647 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.24% avg, n=8,456
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on AAL
What traded today · 62%
+5.4 pts
8,499 calls · 7,148 puts · bias +8.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+4.9 pts
156,053 call OI · 120,576 put OI · bias +12.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
1 Oct · 4h
$13.09 → $13.09
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AAL
Not enough tape history on AAL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our AAL record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?