ADBE Adobe Inc
$232.77 · +0.00% vs $232.77 close · scored 07:32 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 64/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 64/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.0 composite+10.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 28% today
15,012 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
What traded today · weight 62%
+22.5 pts
10,233 calls · 68.2% 4,779 puts
bias +36.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−7.5 pts
51,141 call OI · 40.1% 76,353 put OI
bias −19.8 × 0.38
Equals
+15.0
75% of the score comes from today’s volume, 25% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.52% · tape +19.6 · corr -0.16
▼ low −4.1 ◆ +17.0 in a day ● peak +15 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $257 $231 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.52% while the tape has firmed 19.6 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 81 · 15,012 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 63
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
pass Tape has led price tape has led ADBE’s price by 3 days (r=-0.16, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on ADBE is poor 25% hit rate on 708 closed calls · payoff 0.67×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $232.77 highlighted. The $210 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 20,998). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ADBE Proof 6 Oct · 4h
$238.79 → $238.79
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$237.46 → $237.46
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$237.69 → $237.69
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$237.60 → $237.60
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 335 of these 708 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 12.76 · fwd 8.79 Beta 1.416
52w $190.12–$363.70 IV rank —
Ask about ADBE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +5 to +15 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −4.1 on 4 Oct, then rose to +12.9 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $237.60 to $237.46. It’s at +15.0 now.+22.5 from volume and −7.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 07:32 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our ADBE record what it is? What’s the $210 wall?
What our data projects
+0.35 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#110 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $210 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Adobe Inc · Technology
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
Why it’s +15
+22.5 volume · 68% calls−7.5 OI · 40% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +17.0 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $257 $231 Price −9.52%, tape +19.6 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 81 · 15,012 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 63
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+22.5 pts
10,233 calls · 4,779 puts · bias +36.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−7.5 pts
51,141 call OI · 76,353 put OI · bias −19.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.52% · tape +19.6 · corr -0.16
▼ low −4.1 ◆ +17.0 in a day ● peak +15 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $257 $231 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.52% while the tape has firmed 19.6 points. The two are drifting apart.
25% hit rate · 708 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$238.79 → $238.79
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$237.46 → $237.46
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$237.69 → $237.69
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$237.60 → $237.60
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $210 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ADBE
Why did the score rise from +5 to +15 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −4.1 on 4 Oct, then rose to +12.9 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $237.60 to $237.46. It’s at +15.0 now.+22.5 from volume and −7.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 07:32 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our ADBE record what it is? What’s the $210 wall?