AEE Ameren Corp
$99.70 · +0.00% vs $99.70 close · scored 07:33 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 50/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 26.1 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 50/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+95.4 composite┆ +69.3 yesterday (+26.1) +91.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
50 / 100 · top 62% today
5 contracts · quality 29 · stability 0.84
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+62.0 pts
5 calls · 100.0% 0 puts
bias +100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+33.4 pts
4,196 call OI · 94.0% 269 put OI
bias +88.0 × 0.38
Equals
+95.4
65% of the score comes from today’s volume, 35% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.16% · tape +2.8 · corr 0.04
◆ −103.8 in a day ▼ low −20.9 ● peak +95 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $106 $99 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.16% while the tape has barely moved (+2.8). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (38th pct) · quality 29 · 5 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led AEE’s price by 3 days (r=-0.28, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
note Our record on AEE is mixed 41% hit rate on 371 closed calls · payoff 0.74×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $99.70 highlighted. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,086).
6 Oct · 4h
$99.70 → $99.70
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$99.94 → $99.94
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$99.94 → $99.94
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$99.94 → $99.94
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 190 of these 371 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 17.58 · fwd 17.83 Beta 0.448
52w $96.57–$118.32 IV rank —
Ask about AEE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +4 to +95 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +4.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to +69.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $99.64 to $99.94. It’s at +95.4 now.+62.0 from volume and +33.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 07:33 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our AEE record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?
What our data projects
−0.51 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#574 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Ameren Corp · Utilities
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+95.4 ┆ +69.3 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +95
+62.0 volume · 100% calls+33.4 OI · 94% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −103.8 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $106 $99 Price −6.16%, tape +2.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (38th pct) · quality 29 · 5 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+62.0 pts
5 calls · 0 puts · bias +100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+33.4 pts
4,196 call OI · 269 put OI · bias +88.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.16% · tape +2.8 · corr 0.04
◆ −103.8 in a day ▼ low −20.9 ● peak +95 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $106 $99 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.16% while the tape has barely moved (+2.8). The two are drifting apart.
41% hit rate · 371 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$99.70 → $99.70
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$99.94 → $99.94
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$99.94 → $99.94
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$99.94 → $99.94
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AEE
Why did the score rise from +4 to +95 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +4.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to +69.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $99.64 to $99.94. It’s at +95.4 now.+62.0 from volume and +33.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 07:33 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our AEE record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?