ALB Albemarle Corp
$102.10 · +0.00% vs $102.10 close · scored 14:20 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.6 composite−6.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 34% today
3,769 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.22% · n=9,546
What traded today · weight 62%
+1.3 pts
1,923 calls · 51.0% 1,846 puts
bias +2.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.4 pts
9,988 call OI · 63.6% 5,706 put OI
bias +27.3 × 0.38
Equals
+11.6
11% of the score comes from today’s volume, 89% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −21.20% · tape +17.5 · corr 0.03
● peak +52 ▼ low −28.6 ◆ −80.1 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $139 $102 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 21.20% while the tape has firmed 17.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (66th pct) · quality 78 · 3,769 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.22% avg, n=9,546
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led ALB’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.20, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on ALB is poor 18% hit rate on 422 closed calls · payoff 0.22×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $102.10 highlighted. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,709). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 166 of these 422 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 55.43 · fwd 10.51 Beta 1.372
52w $85.85–$221.00 IV rank —
Ask about ALB answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +18 to +12 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +17.7 on 3 Oct, then fell to +3.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $103.61 to $104.59. It’s at +11.6 now.+1.3 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:20 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our ALB record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?
What our data projects
+0.14 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#207 of 724 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Albemarle Corp · Chemicals
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.22% · n=9,546
Why it’s +12
+1.3 volume · 51% calls+10.4 OI · 64% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −80.1 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $139 $102 Price −21.20%, tape +17.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (66th pct) · quality 78 · 3,769 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.22% avg, n=9,546
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led ALB’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.20, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+1.3 pts
1,923 calls · 1,846 puts · bias +2.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.4 pts
9,988 call OI · 5,706 put OI · bias +27.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −21.20% · tape +17.5 · corr 0.03
● peak +52 ▼ low −28.6 ◆ −80.1 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $139 $102 Over 30 days, price has fallen 21.20% while the tape has firmed 17.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
18% hit rate · 422 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.10 → $102.10
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ALB
Why did the score drop from +18 to +12 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +17.7 on 3 Oct, then fell to +3.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $103.61 to $104.59. It’s at +11.6 now.+1.3 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:20 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our ALB record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?