AMC AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc
$2.90 · +0.67% vs $2.88 close · scored 11:25 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 87/100
What changed
Composite weakened 9.0 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 87/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+76.9 composite┆ +85.9 yesterday (−9.0) +12.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
87 / 100 · top 2% today
53,403 contracts · quality 96 · stability 0.96
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+54.0 pts
49,954 calls · 93.5% 3,449 puts
bias +87.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+22.9 pts
243,128 call OI · 80.1% 60,387 put OI
bias +60.2 × 0.38
Equals
+76.9
70% of the score comes from today’s volume, 30% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +16.13% · tape +34.3 · corr 0.08
● peak +82 ▼ low +25.5 ◆ +44.1 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $3 $2 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 16.13% while the tape has firmed 34.3 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 87 (98th pct) · quality 96 · 53,403 contracts
pass Stable 0.96 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led AMC’s price by 2 days (r=0.29, n=51)
against Our record on AMC is poor 3% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 0.86×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $2.90 highlighted. The $3 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 72,814). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$2.90 → $2.90
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.88 → $2.90
+0.67% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.88 → $2.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.88 → $2.88
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1646 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.304
52w $0.93–$3.40 IV rank —
Ask about AMC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +64 to +77 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +32.0 on 7 Oct, then rose to +76.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2.77 to $2.88. It’s at +76.9 now.+54.0 from volume and +22.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 11:25 method · 62/38
Compare with NFLX Why is our AMC record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?
What our data projects
+0.46 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#73 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+76.9 ┆ +85.9 yday evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +77
+54.0 volume · 94% calls+22.9 OI · 80% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +44.1 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $3 $2 Price +16.13%, tape +34.3 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 87 (98th pct) · quality 96 · 53,403 contracts
pass Stable 0.96 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against Our record on AMC is poor 3% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 0.86×
What traded today · 62%
+54.0 pts
49,954 calls · 3,449 puts · bias +87.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+22.9 pts
243,128 call OI · 60,387 put OI · bias +60.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +16.13% · tape +34.3 · corr 0.08
● peak +82 ▼ low +25.5 ◆ +44.1 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $3 $2 Over 30 days, price has risen 16.13% while the tape has firmed 34.3 points. They agree.
3% hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$2.90 → $2.90
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.88 → $2.90
+0.67% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.88 → $2.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.88 → $2.88
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AMC
Why did the score rise from +64 to +77 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +32.0 on 7 Oct, then rose to +76.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2.77 to $2.88. It’s at +76.9 now.+54.0 from volume and +22.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 11:25 method · 62/38
Compare with NFLX Why is our AMC record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?