XLF has the strongest read; SPY has the most behind it.
One lean bullish, two bearish. The difference is evidence and record: SPY’s read rests on 14,221,662 contracts but our 4h record on it is 3%; XLF’s bucket has paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bullish | Mildly bearish | Mildly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | |||
| Composite | +13.1 | −19.5 | −24.5 |
| Evidence | 77 | 80 | 79 |
| Quality | 93 | 85 | 84 |
| Price | $87.60 | $776.93 | $53.62 |
| Contracts today | 16,696 | 14,221,662 | 184,520 |
| Calibration | hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948 | has paid −0.38% · n=449 | has paid −0.50% · n=356 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | |||
| Our record here, 4h | 6% of 1,918 checked | 3% of 1,123 checked | 6% of 522 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
ARKKSPYXLFtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.