BAC Bank of America Corp
$53.64 · −0.21% vs $53.75 close · scored 00:33 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 76/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 76/100
For the read
evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−6.3 composite−4.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
76 / 100 · top 6% today
273,460 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.15% · n=1,055
What traded today · weight 62%
−3.1 pts
129,851 calls · 47.5% 143,609 puts
bias −5.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.2 pts
1,111,585 call OI · 45.8% 1,316,987 put OI
bias −8.5 × 0.38
Equals
−6.3
49% of the score comes from today’s volume, 51% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −14.25% · tape −4.7 · corr 0.37
● peak +46 ◆ +44.0 in a day ▼ low −13.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $63 $54 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 14.25% while the tape has barely moved (−4.7). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 85 · 273,460 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · high liquidity → +1.15% avg, n=1,055
pass Tape has led price tape has led BAC’s price by 2 days (r=-0.31, n=50)
against Our record on BAC is poor 11% hit rate on 1553 closed calls · payoff 1.37×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $53.64 highlighted. The $55 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 299,498). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
11%
hit rate · 1553 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$53.64 → $53.64
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$53.75 → $53.75
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$53.60 → $53.60
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$53.73 → $53.73
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1226 of these 1553 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 11.38 · fwd 10.99 Beta 1.212
52w $46.12–$65.23 IV rank —
Ask about BAC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from −2 to −6 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −2.2 on 1 Oct, then fell to −9.9 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $54.43 to $53.73. It’s at −6.3 now.−3.1 from volume and −3.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 00:33 method · 62/38
Compare with NU Why is our BAC record what it is? What’s the $55 wall?
What our data projects
+0.45 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#76 of 635 · helped by tape composite, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $55 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Bank of America Corp · Banking
Neutral, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−6.3 evidence
neutral · +1.15% · n=1,055
Why it’s −6
−3.1 volume · 47% calls−3.2 OI · 46% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +44.0 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $63 $54 Price −14.25%, tape −4.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 85 · 273,460 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · high liquidity → +1.15% avg, n=1,055
against Our record on BAC is poor 11% hit rate on 1553 closed calls · payoff 1.37×
What traded today · 62%
−3.1 pts
129,851 calls · 143,609 puts · bias −5.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.2 pts
1,111,585 call OI · 1,316,987 put OI · bias −8.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −14.25% · tape −4.7 · corr 0.37
● peak +46 ◆ +44.0 in a day ▼ low −13.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $63 $54 Over 30 days, price has fallen 14.25% while the tape has barely moved (−4.7). They agree.
11% hit rate · 1553 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$53.64 → $53.64
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$53.75 → $53.75
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$53.60 → $53.60
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$53.73 → $53.73
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $55 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BAC
Why did the score drop from −2 to −6 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −2.2 on 1 Oct, then fell to −9.9 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $54.43 to $53.73. It’s at −6.3 now.−3.1 from volume and −3.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 00:33 method · 62/38
Compare with NU Why is our BAC record what it is? What’s the $55 wall?