JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co
$332.99 · +0.39% vs $331.70 close · scored 09:28 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 73/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 73/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.1 composite+0.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
73 / 100 · top 11% today
25,073 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+23.5 pts
17,298 calls · 69.0% 7,775 puts
bias +38.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.5 pts
80,884 call OI · 62.5% 48,490 put OI
bias +25.0 × 0.38
Equals
+33.1
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.12% · tape +16.4 · corr -0.79
▼ low −10.6 ◆ +32.4 in a day ● peak +37 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $362 $330 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.12% while the tape has firmed 16.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 73 (89th pct) · quality 82 · 25,073 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led JPM’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.21, n=52)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on JPM is poor 13% hit rate on 1455 closed calls · payoff 1.07×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $332.99 highlighted. The $345 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 8,931). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
13%
hit rate · 1455 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$332.99 → $332.99
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$332.99 → $332.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$332.99 → $332.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$332.92 → $332.99
+0.02% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1106 of these 1455 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 13.68 · fwd 13.57 Beta 1.044
52w $279.10–$366.50 IV rank —
Ask about JPM answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +33.1?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +33.1 across the last 8 sessions.+23.5 from volume and +9.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 09:28 method · 62/38
Compare with NU Why is our JPM record what it is? What’s the $345 wall?
What our data projects
+0.04 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#251 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $345 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
JPMorgan Chase & Co · Banking
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.1 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +33
+23.5 volume · 69% calls+9.5 OI · 63% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +32.4 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $362 $330 Price −6.12%, tape +16.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 73 (89th pct) · quality 82 · 25,073 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led JPM’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.21, n=52)
What traded today · 62%
+23.5 pts
17,298 calls · 7,775 puts · bias +38.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.5 pts
80,884 call OI · 48,490 put OI · bias +25.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.12% · tape +16.4 · corr -0.79
▼ low −10.6 ◆ +32.4 in a day ● peak +37 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $362 $330 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.12% while the tape has firmed 16.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
13% hit rate · 1455 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$332.99 → $332.99
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$332.99 → $332.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$332.99 → $332.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$332.92 → $332.99
+0.02% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $345 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about JPM
What is behind today’s +33.1?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +33.1 across the last 8 sessions.+23.5 from volume and +9.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 09:28 method · 62/38
Compare with NU Why is our JPM record what it is? What’s the $345 wall?