BANX
ArrowMark Financial Corp
$19.61 · +0.00% vs $19.61 close · scored 07:51 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 38/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 15.8 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 38/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced, but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+93.9 composite┆ +78.2 yesterday (+15.8)+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
38 / 100 · top 82% today
0 contracts · quality 51 · stability 0.63
has paid +30.55% · n=5,386
No call/put volume stored for today, so the score can’t be split.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −6.04% · tape −4.7 · corr 0.41
Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.04% while the tape has barely moved (−4.7). They agree.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 38 (18th pct) · quality 51 · 0 contracts
noteJumpy0.63 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +30.55% avg, n=5,386
noteTape is confirming, not predictingprice has led BANX’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.70, n=34)
noteStretched vs its own historytoday’s tape sits high relative to price
againstOur record on BANX is poor7% hit rate on 771 closed calls · payoff 1.03×
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $19.61 highlighted. The $20 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 679). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on BANX
Proof
8 Oct · 4h
$19.61 → $19.61
+0.00%flat
4 Oct · 4h
$20.00 → $20.00
+0.00%flat
3 Oct · 4h
$20.00 → $20.00
+0.00%flat
2 Oct · 4h
$19.81 → $19.81
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 680 of these 771 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaningNext report 10 Sep
P/E 14.45 · fwd 10.80Beta 0.282
52w $18.45–$22.50IV rank —
ArrowMark Financial Corp · Financial Services
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced. It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+93.9┆ +78.2 ydayevidence 38
has paid +30.55% · n=5,386
35 days · tape bars, price line
Price −6.04%, tape −4.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 38 (18th pct) · quality 51 · 0 contracts
noteJumpy
0.63 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteTape is confirming, not predicting
price has led BANX’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.70, n=34)
noteStretched vs its own history
today’s tape sits high relative to price
No call/put volume stored for today.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −6.04% · tape −4.7 · corr 0.41
Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.04% while the tape has barely moved (−4.7). They agree.
7% hit rate · 771 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$19.61 → $19.61
+0.00%flat
4 Oct · 4h
$20.00 → $20.00
+0.00%flat
3 Oct · 4h
$20.00 → $20.00
+0.00%flat
2 Oct · 4h
$19.81 → $19.81
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about BANX
Why did the score rise from +78 to +94 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +78.2 on 7 Oct, then rose to +93.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $20.17 to $20.17. It’s at +93.9 now.
tape_history · 35 ptsstock_scores · 07:51method · 62/38