BBY Best Buy Co Inc
$87.97 · +0.00% vs $87.97 close · scored 19:22 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 60/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 29.1 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 60/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.2 composite┆ −26.9 yesterday (+29.1) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
60 / 100 · top 25% today
1,196 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.77
neutral · −2.07% · n=10,279
What traded today · weight 62%
+7.1 pts
666 calls · 55.7% 530 puts
bias +11.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−4.9 pts
9,771 call OI · 43.6% 12,635 put OI
bias −12.8 × 0.38
Equals
+2.2
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.17% · tape −9.4 · corr 0.09
▼ low −26.9 ● peak +2 ◆ +29.1 in a day 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-11 10-14 10-15 $88 $88 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.17% while the tape has faded 9.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (75th pct) · quality 84 · 1,196 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.07% avg, n=10,279
pass Tape has led price tape has led BBY’s price by 3 days (r=-0.25, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on BBY is poor 28% hit rate on 1500 closed calls · payoff 0.89×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $87.97. The $85 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,651). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
28%
hit rate · 1500 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$87.97 → $87.97
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$88.03 → $88.03
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$88.63 → $88.63
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$87.70 → $87.70
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 774 of these 1500 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 14.59 · fwd 13.41 Beta 1.270
52w $55.10–$96.53 IV rank —
Ask about BBY answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +2.2?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +2.2 across the last 8 sessions. Today’s +2.2 breaks down as +7.1 from volume and −4.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 19:22 method · 62/38
Compare with GME Why is our BBY record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?
What our data projects
+0.04 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#377 of 913 · helped by quality, tape composite. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
0 of 1 checked projections for BBY got the side of the market right.
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Best Buy Co Inc · Retail
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.2 ┆ −26.9 yday evidence 60
neutral · −2.07% · n=10,279
Why it’s +2
+7.1 volume · 56% calls−4.9 OI · 44% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +29.1 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-11 10-14 10-15 $88 $88
Price −7.17%, tape −9.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (75th pct) · quality 84 · 1,196 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.07% avg, n=10,279
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+7.1 pts
666 calls · 530 puts · bias +11.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−4.9 pts
9,771 call OI · 12,635 put OI · bias −12.8
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.17% · tape −9.4 · corr 0.09
▼ low −26.9 ● peak +2 ◆ +29.1 in a day 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-11 10-14 10-15 $88 $88 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.17% while the tape has faded 9.4 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
28% hit rate · 1500 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$87.97 → $87.97
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$88.03 → $88.03
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$88.63 → $88.63
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$87.70 → $87.70
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BBY
What is behind today’s +2.2?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +2.2 across the last 8 sessions. Today’s +2.2 breaks down as +7.1 from volume and −4.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 19:22 method · 62/38
Compare with GME Why is our BBY record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?