BRCC BRC Inc
$9.55 · +5.52% vs $9.05 close · scored 15:42 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 56/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 4.1 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+0.2 composite┆ −3.9 yesterday (+4.1) +12.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 47% today
704 contracts · quality 66 · stability 0.64
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
What traded today · weight 62%
−28.5 pts
190 calls · 27.0% 514 puts
bias −46.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+28.7 pts
20,796 call OI · 87.8% 2,900 put OI
bias +75.5 × 0.38
Equals
+0.2
50% of the score comes from today’s volume, 50% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +1.80% · tape +31.9 · corr -0.07
▼ low −51.4 ● peak +84 ◆ −124.0 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $10 $8 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 1.80% while the tape has firmed 31.9 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 66 · 704 contracts
note Jumpy 0.64 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
pass Tape has led price tape has led BRCC’s price by 3 days (r=-0.17, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
pass Our record on BRCC is good 69% hit rate on 847 closed calls · payoff 1.80×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $9.55 highlighted. The $2 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14,823). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on BRCC Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$9.55 → $9.55
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$9.05 → $9.05
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.94 → $8.94
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.94 → $8.94
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 187 of these 847 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 51.03 Beta 1.341
52w $6.00–$18.55 IV rank —
Ask about BRCC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −12 to +0 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.9 on 3 Oct, then rose to −3.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $8.94 to $8.94. It’s at +0.2 now.−28.5 from volume and +28.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:42 method · 62/38
Compare with MKC Why is our BRCC record what it is? What’s the $2 wall?
What our data projects
−0.51 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#578 of 635 · helped by tape composite, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
BRC Inc · Food Products
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+0.2 ┆ −3.9 yday evidence
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
Why it’s +0
−28.5 volume · 27% calls+28.7 OI · 88% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −124.0 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $10 $8 Price +1.80%, tape +31.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 66 · 704 contracts
note Jumpy 0.64 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−28.5 pts
190 calls · 514 puts · bias −46.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+28.7 pts
20,796 call OI · 2,900 put OI · bias +75.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +1.80% · tape +31.9 · corr -0.07
▼ low −51.4 ● peak +84 ◆ −124.0 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $10 $8 Over 30 days, price has risen 1.80% while the tape has firmed 31.9 points. They agree.
69% hit rate · 847 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$9.55 → $9.55
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$9.05 → $9.05
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.94 → $8.94
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.94 → $8.94
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BRCC
Why did the score rise from −12 to +0 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.9 on 3 Oct, then rose to −3.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $8.94 to $8.94. It’s at +0.2 now.−28.5 from volume and +28.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:42 method · 62/38
Compare with MKC Why is our BRCC record what it is? What’s the $2 wall?