CMCSA Comcast Corp
$21.57 · +0.00% vs $21.57 close · scored 08:33 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 68/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 68/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+48.0 composite+21.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
68 / 100 · top 17% today
6,288 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+36.5 pts
4,997 calls · 79.5% 1,291 puts
bias +58.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.5 pts
90,218 call OI · 65.1% 48,420 put OI
bias +30.1 × 0.38
Equals
+48.0
76% of the score comes from today’s volume, 24% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −12.28% · tape +34.7 · corr -0.01
● peak +54 ▼ low −49.7 ◆ −84.0 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $27 $22 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 12.28% while the tape has firmed 34.7 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 80 · 6,288 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led CMCSA’s price by 3 days (r=-0.29, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on CMCSA is poor 23% hit rate on 399 closed calls · payoff 0.71×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $21.57. The $22 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 16,971). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CMCSA Proof
4 Oct · 4h
$21.57 → $21.57
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$21.57 → $21.57
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$21.89 → $21.89
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$21.70 → $21.70
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 161 of these 399 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 6.61 · fwd 6.27 Beta 0.736
52w $20.88–$32.86 IV rank —
Ask about CMCSA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +26 to +48 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +26.1 on 3 Oct, then rose to +48.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $21.57 to $21.57. It’s at +48.0 now. Today’s +48.0 breaks down as +36.5 from volume and +11.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 08:33 method · 62/38
Compare with T Why is our CMCSA record what it is? What’s the $22 wall?
What our data projects
+0.05 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#238 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $22 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Comcast Corp · Telecommunication
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+48.0 evidence 68
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +48
+36.5 volume · 79% calls+11.5 OI · 65% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −84.0 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $27 $22
Price −12.28%, tape +34.7 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 80 · 6,288 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+36.5 pts
4,997 calls · 1,291 puts · bias +58.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.5 pts
90,218 call OI · 48,420 put OI · bias +30.1
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −12.28% · tape +34.7 · corr -0.01
● peak +54 ▼ low −49.7 ◆ −84.0 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $27 $22 Over 30 days, price has fallen 12.28% while the tape has firmed 34.7 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
23% hit rate · 399 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$21.57 → $21.57
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$21.57 → $21.57
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$21.89 → $21.89
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$21.70 → $21.70
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $22 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CMCSA
Why did the score rise from +26 to +48 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +26.1 on 3 Oct, then rose to +48.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $21.57 to $21.57. It’s at +48.0 now. Today’s +48.0 breaks down as +36.5 from volume and +11.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 08:33 method · 62/38
Compare with T Why is our CMCSA record what it is? What’s the $22 wall?