CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings Inc
$263.01 · +0.00% vs $263.01 close · scored 14:29 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 76/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 76/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−13.4 composite−4.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
76 / 100 · top 6% today
71,448 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.43% · n=341
What traded today · weight 62%
−11.9 pts
28,864 calls · 40.4% 42,584 puts
bias −19.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−1.5 pts
112,649 call OI · 48.1% 121,648 put OI
bias −3.8 × 0.38
Equals
−13.4
89% of the score comes from today’s volume, 11% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +25.23% · tape −37.6 · corr -0.77
● peak +5 ◆ +17.9 in a day ▼ low −13.4 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $273 $214 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 25.23% while the tape has faded 37.6 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 82 · 71,448 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bearish · put-heavy · high liquidity → −0.43% avg, n=341
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CRWD’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.47, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on CRWD is poor 13% hit rate on 885 closed calls · payoff 0.95×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $263.01 highlighted. The $260 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 10,599). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CRWD Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 644 of these 885 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 4,643.61 · fwd 169.86 Beta 1.142
52w $85.68–$286.99 IV rank —
Ask about CRWD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from −9 to −13 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −3.2 on 3 Oct, then fell to −10.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $270.04 to $270.04. It’s at −13.4 now.−11.9 from volume and −1.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our CRWD record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?
What our data projects
+0.46 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#81 of 724 · helped by tape composite, confidence, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc · Technology
Mildly bearish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−13.4 evidence
has paid −0.43% · n=341
Why it’s −13
−11.9 volume · 40% calls−1.5 OI · 48% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +17.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $273 $214 Price +25.23%, tape −37.6 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 82 · 71,448 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CRWD’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.47, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−11.9 pts
28,864 calls · 42,584 puts · bias −19.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−1.5 pts
112,649 call OI · 121,648 put OI · bias −3.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +25.23% · tape −37.6 · corr -0.77
● peak +5 ◆ +17.9 in a day ▼ low −13.4 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $273 $214 Over 30 days, price has risen 25.23% while the tape has faded 37.6 points. The two are drifting apart.
13% hit rate · 885 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$263.01 → $263.01
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CRWD
Why did the score drop from −9 to −13 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −3.2 on 3 Oct, then fell to −10.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $270.04 to $270.04. It’s at −13.4 now.−11.9 from volume and −1.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our CRWD record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?