CRWV CoreWeave Inc
$82.21 · +0.43% vs $81.85 close · scored 15:47 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 87/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 25.4 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 87/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+22.5 composite┆ −2.9 yesterday (+25.4) −8.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
87 / 100 · top 2% today
48,560 contracts · quality 95 · stability 0.91
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
What traded today · weight 62%
+11.8 pts
28,899 calls · 59.5% 19,661 puts
bias +19.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.7 pts
489,761 call OI · 64.0% 275,320 put OI
bias +28.0 × 0.38
Equals
+22.5
53% of the score comes from today’s volume, 47% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −18.01% · tape +2.8 · corr -0.15
▼ low +15.6 ● peak +45 ◆ +29.0 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $90 $82 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 18.01% while the tape has barely moved (+2.8). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 87 (98th pct) · quality 95 · 48,560 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CRWV’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.29, n=50)
against Our record on CRWV is poor 31% hit rate on 678 closed calls · payoff 1.47×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $82.21 highlighted. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 69,048). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CRWV Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$82.21 → $82.21
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$89.62 → $82.21
−8.27% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$83.85 → $82.21
−1.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$81.58 → $82.21
+0.77% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 314 of these 678 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 3.107
52w $60.55–$153.20 IV rank —
Ask about CRWV answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +31 to +22 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +39.6 on 4 Oct, then fell to +24.9 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $89.40 to $89.62. It’s at +22.5 now.+11.8 from volume and +10.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:47 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our CRWV record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?
What our data projects
+0.77 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#26 of 635 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
CoreWeave Inc · Technology
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+22.5 ┆ −2.9 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
Why it’s +22
+11.8 volume · 60% calls+10.7 OI · 64% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +29.0 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $90 $82 Price −18.01%, tape +2.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 87 (98th pct) · quality 95 · 48,560 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CRWV’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.29, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+11.8 pts
28,899 calls · 19,661 puts · bias +19.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.7 pts
489,761 call OI · 275,320 put OI · bias +28.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −18.01% · tape +2.8 · corr -0.15
▼ low +15.6 ● peak +45 ◆ +29.0 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $90 $82 Over 30 days, price has fallen 18.01% while the tape has barely moved (+2.8). The two are drifting apart.
31% hit rate · 678 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$82.21 → $82.21
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$89.62 → $82.21
−8.27% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$83.85 → $82.21
−1.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$81.58 → $82.21
+0.77% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CRWV
Why did the score drop from +31 to +22 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +39.6 on 4 Oct, then fell to +24.9 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $89.40 to $89.62. It’s at +22.5 now.+11.8 from volume and +10.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:47 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our CRWV record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?