CSCO Cisco Systems Inc
$112.82 · +0.00% vs $112.82 close · scored 07:52 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.0 composite−20.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
25,812 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.4 pts
14,646 calls · 56.7% 11,166 puts
bias +13.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+4.6 pts
104,818 call OI · 56.0% 82,225 put OI
bias +12.1 × 0.38
Equals
+13.0
65% of the score comes from today’s volume, 35% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +3.34% · tape −29.4 · corr 0.00
▼ low +1.3 ◆ +45.9 in a day ● peak +57 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $113 $106 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 3.34% while the tape has faded 29.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 82 · 25,812 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
pass Tape has led price tape has led CSCO’s price by 2 days (r=-0.17, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on CSCO is poor 15% hit rate on 566 closed calls · payoff 0.80×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $112.82 highlighted. The $115 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 16,775). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CSCO Proof 6 Oct · 4h
$112.82 → $112.82
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$112.20 → $112.20
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$112.20 → $112.20
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$112.08 → $112.08
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 337 of these 566 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 34.89 · fwd 20.51 Beta 1.012
52w $66.81–$130.37 IV rank —
Ask about CSCO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +33 to +13 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +33.0 on 5 Oct, then fell to +13.0 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $112.20 to $112.82. It’s at +13.0 now.+8.4 from volume and +4.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 07:52 method · 62/38
Compare with LTRX Why is our CSCO record what it is? What’s the $115 wall?
What our data projects
−0.07 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#318 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $115 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Cisco Systems Inc · Communications
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
Why it’s +13
+8.4 volume · 57% calls+4.6 OI · 56% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +45.9 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $113 $106 Price +3.34%, tape −29.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 82 · 25,812 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+8.4 pts
14,646 calls · 11,166 puts · bias +13.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+4.6 pts
104,818 call OI · 82,225 put OI · bias +12.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +3.34% · tape −29.4 · corr 0.00
▼ low +1.3 ◆ +45.9 in a day ● peak +57 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $113 $106 Over 30 days, price has risen 3.34% while the tape has faded 29.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
15% hit rate · 566 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$112.82 → $112.82
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$112.20 → $112.20
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$112.20 → $112.20
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$112.08 → $112.08
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $115 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CSCO
Why did the score drop from +33 to +13 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +33.0 on 5 Oct, then fell to +13.0 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $112.20 to $112.82. It’s at +13.0 now.+8.4 from volume and +4.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 07:52 method · 62/38
Compare with LTRX Why is our CSCO record what it is? What’s the $115 wall?