CSX CSX Corp
$47.18 · −0.35% vs $47.34 close · scored 15:45 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 64/100
What changed
Composite weakened 8.9 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 64/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.8 composite┆ +40.7 yesterday (−8.9) −22.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 28% today
1,037 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.67
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+11.3 pts
613 calls · 59.1% 424 puts
bias +18.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.5 pts
8,077 call OI · 77.0% 2,409 put OI
bias +54.1 × 0.38
Equals
+31.8
35% of the score comes from today’s volume, 65% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.13% · tape +16.5 · corr -0.28
▼ low −56.9 ◆ +86.5 in a day ● peak +77 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $52 $46 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.13% while the tape has firmed 16.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 80 · 1,037 contracts
note Jumpy 0.67 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CSX’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.23, n=45)
pass Our record on CSX is good 67% hit rate on 840 closed calls · payoff 1.30×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $47.18 highlighted. The $50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,346). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$47.18 → $47.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$47.34 → $47.18
−0.35% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$47.34 → $47.18
−0.35% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$47.34 → $47.18
−0.35% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 175 of these 840 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 27.06 · fwd 21.19 Beta 1.134
52w $33.63–$53.60 IV rank —
Ask about CSX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +54 to +32 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +59.6 on 5 Oct, then fell to +48.9 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $47.43 to $47.43. It’s at +31.8 now.+11.3 from volume and +20.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our CSX record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?
What our data projects
−0.07 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#316 of 635 · helped by price momentum (5 days), last day's move, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
CSX Corp · Road & Rail
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.8 ┆ +40.7 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +32
+11.3 volume · 59% calls+20.5 OI · 77% calls
46 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +86.5 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $52 $46 Price −2.13%, tape +16.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 80 · 1,037 contracts
note Jumpy 0.67 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CSX’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.23, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+11.3 pts
613 calls · 424 puts · bias +18.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.5 pts
8,077 call OI · 2,409 put OI · bias +54.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.13% · tape +16.5 · corr -0.28
▼ low −56.9 ◆ +86.5 in a day ● peak +77 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $52 $46 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.13% while the tape has firmed 16.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
67% hit rate · 840 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$47.18 → $47.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$47.34 → $47.18
−0.35% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$47.34 → $47.18
−0.35% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$47.34 → $47.18
−0.35% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CSX
Why did the score drop from +54 to +32 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +59.6 on 5 Oct, then fell to +48.9 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $47.43 to $47.43. It’s at +31.8 now.+11.3 from volume and +20.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our CSX record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?