CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc
$32.49 · +0.00% vs $32.49 close · scored 08:29 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+76.4 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 73% today
0 contracts · quality 56 · stability 0.00
has paid +35.42% · n=10,494
No call/put volume stored for today, so the score can’t be split.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −0.21% · tape +0.0 · corr 0.00
Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.21% while the tape has barely moved (+0.0). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 45 (27th pct) · quality 56 · 0 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +35.42% avg, n=10,494
againstOur record on CTRA is poor1% hit rate on 271 closed calls
04
Where the positions sit
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $32.49. The $36 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 42,221). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on CTRA
Proof
24 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
23 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
23 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
22 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 269 of these 271 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaningNext report —
P/E 14.40 · fwd 12.67Beta -0.182
52w $22.33–$36.88IV rank —
Coterra Energy Inc · Energy
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+76.4evidence 45
has paid +35.42% · n=10,494
41 days · tape bars, price line
Price −0.21%, tape +0.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 45 (27th pct) · quality 56 · 0 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstOur record on CTRA is poor
1% hit rate on 271 closed calls
No call/put volume stored for today.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −0.21% · tape +0.0 · corr 0.00
Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.21% while the tape has barely moved (+0.0). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
1% hit rate · 271 closed
24 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
23 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
23 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
22 Sep · 4h
$32.49 → $32.49
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $36 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about CTRA
What is behind today’s +76.4?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +76.4 across the last 8 sessions.
tape_history · 41 ptsstock_scores · 08:29method · 62/38