DD Dupont De Nemours Inc
$132.48 · +0.00% vs $132.48 close · scored 14:20 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 58/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+0.2 composite┆ +0.2 yesterday (+0.0) −87.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 42% today
740 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.85
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
What traded today · weight 62%
−19.9 pts
251 calls · 33.9% 489 puts
bias −32.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.1 pts
7,166 call OI · 76.5% 2,203 put OI
bias +53.0 × 0.38
Equals
+0.2
50% of the score comes from today’s volume, 50% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.88% · tape −65.6 · corr -0.23
▼ low −37.0 ◆ +124.0 in a day ● peak +87 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $139 $124 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.88% while the tape has faded 65.6 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 85 · 740 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DD’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.20, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on DD is poor 18% hit rate on 408 closed calls · payoff 0.52×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $132.48 highlighted. The $150 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,826).
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 192 of these 408 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 323.39 · fwd 17.05 Beta 1.065
52w $92.49–$157.98 IV rank —
Ask about DD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +87 to +0 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +85.4 on 4 Oct, then fell to +15.2 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $129.98 to $129.98. It’s at +0.2 now.−19.9 from volume and +20.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:20 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our DD record what it is? What’s the $150 wall?
What our data projects
−0.57 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#597 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $150 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Dupont De Nemours Inc · Chemicals
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+0.2 ┆ +0.2 yday evidence
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
Why it’s +0
−19.9 volume · 34% calls+20.1 OI · 76% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +124.0 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $139 $124 Price +0.88%, tape −65.6 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 85 · 740 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DD’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.20, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−19.9 pts
251 calls · 489 puts · bias −32.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.1 pts
7,166 call OI · 2,203 put OI · bias +53.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.88% · tape −65.6 · corr -0.23
▼ low −37.0 ◆ +124.0 in a day ● peak +87 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $139 $124 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.88% while the tape has faded 65.6 points. The two are drifting apart.
18% hit rate · 408 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$132.48 → $132.48
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $150 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DD
Why did the score drop from +87 to +0 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +85.4 on 4 Oct, then fell to +15.2 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $129.98 to $129.98. It’s at +0.2 now.−19.9 from volume and +20.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:20 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our DD record what it is? What’s the $150 wall?