DIS Walt Disney Co
$107.02 · +4.73% vs $102.19 close · scored 12:22 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 68/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 68/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.2 composite+8.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
68 / 100 · top 16% today
12,760 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+30.3 pts
9,493 calls · 74.4% 3,267 puts
bias +48.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.9 pts
66,897 call OI · 53.9% 57,326 put OI
bias +7.7 × 0.38
Equals
+33.2
91% of the score comes from today’s volume, 9% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.73% · tape +39.5 · corr -0.46
● peak +56 ▼ low −14.6 ◆ +56.6 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $109 $101 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.73% while the tape has firmed 39.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (84th pct) · quality 81 · 12,760 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led DIS’s price by 3 days (r=0.25, n=51)
against Our record on DIS is poor 10% hit rate on 1451 closed calls · payoff 0.52×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $107.02 highlighted. The $100 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 30,158). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
10%
hit rate · 1451 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$107.02 → $107.02
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$102.19 → $102.19
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$102.37 → $102.37
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$101.38 → $101.38
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1090 of these 1451 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 20.52 · fwd 13.91 Beta 1.458
52w $92.19–$117.09 IV rank —
Ask about DIS answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +24 to +33 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +24.3 on 3 Oct, then rose to +41.4 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $102.37 to $102.37. It’s at +33.2 now.+30.3 from volume and +2.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 12:22 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our DIS record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?
What our data projects
−0.12 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#349 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Walt Disney Co · Media
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +33
+30.3 volume · 74% calls+2.9 OI · 54% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +56.6 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $109 $101 Price −2.73%, tape +39.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (84th pct) · quality 81 · 12,760 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
against Our record on DIS is poor 10% hit rate on 1451 closed calls · payoff 0.52×
What traded today · 62%
+30.3 pts
9,493 calls · 3,267 puts · bias +48.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.9 pts
66,897 call OI · 57,326 put OI · bias +7.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.73% · tape +39.5 · corr -0.46
● peak +56 ▼ low −14.6 ◆ +56.6 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $109 $101 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.73% while the tape has firmed 39.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
10% hit rate · 1451 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$107.02 → $107.02
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$102.19 → $102.19
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$102.37 → $102.37
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$101.38 → $101.38
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DIS
Why did the score rise from +24 to +33 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +24.3 on 3 Oct, then rose to +41.4 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $102.37 to $102.37. It’s at +33.2 now.+30.3 from volume and +2.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 12:22 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our DIS record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?