DLNG Dynagas LNG Partners LP
$3.69 · +0.00% vs $3.69 close · scored 01:53 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 58/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+84.8 composite┆ +84.8 yesterday (+0.0) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 28% today
57 contracts · quality 50 · stability 0.98
has paid +0.20% · n=52,410
What traded today · weight 62%
+46.8 pts
50 calls · 87.7% 7 puts
bias +75.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
1,912 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+84.8
55% of the score comes from today’s volume, 45% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.77% · tape −14.0 · corr -0.15
● peak +100 ▼ low +80.3 ◆ −19.2 in a day 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-18 10-24 $4 $4 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.77% while the tape has faded 14.0 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (72th pct) · quality 50 · 57 contracts
pass Stable 0.98 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.20% avg, n=52,410
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DLNG’s tape by 2 days (r=0.21, n=34)
against Our record on DLNG is poor 0% hit rate on 224 closed calls · payoff 0.92×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $3.69 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,878). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on DLNG Proof
9 Oct · 4h
$3.69 → $3.69
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.76 → $3.69
−1.99% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$3.70 → $3.69
−0.41% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$3.70 → $3.69
−0.41% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 213 of these 224 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 2.61 · fwd 3.25 Beta 0.567
52w $3.27–$4.45 IV rank —
Ask about DLNG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +80 to +85 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +80.3 on 8 Oct, then rose to +84.8 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $3.77 to $3.77. It’s at +84.8 now. Today’s +84.8 breaks down as +46.8 from volume and +38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 35 pts stock_scores · 01:53 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our DLNG record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.09 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#441 of 1610 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Dynagas LNG Partners LP · Energy
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+84.8 ┆ +84.8 yday evidence 58
has paid +0.20% · n=52,410
Why it’s +85
+46.8 volume · 88% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −19.2 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-18 10-24 $4 $4
Price −2.77%, tape −14.0 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (72th pct) · quality 50 · 57 contracts
pass Stable 0.98 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DLNG’s tape by 2 days (r=0.21, n=34)
against Our record on DLNG is poor 0% hit rate on 224 closed calls · payoff 0.92×
What traded today · 62%
+46.8 pts
50 calls · 7 puts · bias +75.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
1,912 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.77% · tape −14.0 · corr -0.15
● peak +100 ▼ low +80.3 ◆ −19.2 in a day 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-18 10-24 $4 $4 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.77% while the tape has faded 14.0 points. They agree.
0% hit rate · 224 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$3.69 → $3.69
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.76 → $3.69
−1.99% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$3.70 → $3.69
−0.41% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$3.70 → $3.69
−0.41% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DLNG
Why did the score rise from +80 to +85 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +80.3 on 8 Oct, then rose to +84.8 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $3.77 to $3.77. It’s at +84.8 now. Today’s +84.8 breaks down as +46.8 from volume and +38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 35 pts stock_scores · 01:53 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our DLNG record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?