EIX Edison International
$54.30 · +0.00% vs $54.30 close · scored 14:24 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 65/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 65/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.7 composite−97.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 25% today
20,624 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.37% · n=3,867
What traded today · weight 62%
−54.7 pts
1,221 calls · 5.9% 19,403 puts
bias −88.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.9 pts
76,046 call OI · 53.9% 65,138 put OI
bias +7.7 × 0.38
Equals
−51.7
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.48% · tape −92.2 · corr 0.02
▼ low −55.5 ● peak +45 ◆ −87.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $75 $52 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.48% while the tape has faded 92.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 81 · 20,624 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 63
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.37% avg, n=3,867
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led EIX’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.17, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on EIX is poor 13% hit rate on 1548 closed calls · payoff 0.36×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $54.30 highlighted. The $52.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 21,982).
13%
hit rate · 1548 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 452 of these 1548 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 5.25 · fwd 8.60 Beta 0.582
52w $51.10–$81.62 IV rank —
Ask about EIX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +13 to −52 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +36.2 on 6 Oct, then fell to −51.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $53.89 to $54.41. It’s at −51.7 now.−54.7 from volume and +2.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:24 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our EIX record what it is? What’s the $52.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.34 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#505 of 635 · helped by tape composite, confidence, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $52.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Edison International · Utilities
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.7 evidence
has paid −0.37% · n=3,867
Why it’s −52
−54.7 volume · 6% calls+2.9 OI · 54% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −87.9 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $75 $52 Price −8.48%, tape −92.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 81 · 20,624 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 63
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led EIX’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.17, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−54.7 pts
1,221 calls · 19,403 puts · bias −88.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.9 pts
76,046 call OI · 65,138 put OI · bias +7.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.48% · tape −92.2 · corr 0.02
▼ low −55.5 ● peak +45 ◆ −87.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $75 $52 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.48% while the tape has faded 92.2 points. They agree.
13% hit rate · 1548 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.30 → $54.30
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $52.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about EIX
Why did the score drop from +13 to −52 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +36.2 on 6 Oct, then fell to −51.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $53.89 to $54.41. It’s at −51.7 now.−54.7 from volume and +2.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:24 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our EIX record what it is? What’s the $52.5 wall?