EOG EOG Resources Inc
$143.18 · +0.00% vs $143.18 close · scored 09:33 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 69/100
What changed
Composite weakened 8.0 points.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 69/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.6 composite┆ +21.6 yesterday (−8.0) −8.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
69 / 100 · top 16% today
1,468 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.77
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
What traded today · weight 62%
+5.2 pts
796 calls · 54.2% 672 puts
bias +8.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.3 pts
14,394 call OI · 61.0% 9,210 put OI
bias +22.0 × 0.38
Equals
+13.6
39% of the score comes from today’s volume, 61% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.88% · tape −19.2 · corr 0.36
◆ −54.8 in a day ▼ low −8.8 ● peak +72 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-10 $153 $138 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.88% while the tape has faded 19.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 69 (84th pct) · quality 84 · 1,468 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
pass Tape has led price tape has led EOG’s price by 2 days (r=0.17, n=46)
against Our record on EOG is poor 14% hit rate on 383 closed calls · payoff 0.39×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $143.18. The $160 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,294). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
4 Oct · 4h
$141.38 → $141.38
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$141.38 → $141.38
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$140.80 → $140.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$141.31 → $141.31
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 148 of these 383 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 11.04 · fwd 8.93 Beta 0.321
52w $101.59–$154.16 IV rank —
Ask about EOG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +22 to +14 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +21.6 on 3 Oct, then fell to +13.6 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $141.38 to $141.38. It’s at +13.6 now.+5.2 from volume and +8.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 09:33 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our EOG record what it is? What’s the $160 wall?
What our data projects
−0.26 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#460 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $160 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
EOG Resources Inc · Energy
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.6 ┆ +21.6 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
Why it’s +14
+5.2 volume · 54% calls+8.3 OI · 61% calls
47 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −54.8 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-10 $153 $138 Price −3.88%, tape −19.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 69 (84th pct) · quality 84 · 1,468 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
against Our record on EOG is poor 14% hit rate on 383 closed calls · payoff 0.39×
What traded today · 62%
+5.2 pts
796 calls · 672 puts · bias +8.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.3 pts
14,394 call OI · 9,210 put OI · bias +22.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.88% · tape −19.2 · corr 0.36
◆ −54.8 in a day ▼ low −8.8 ● peak +72 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-10 $153 $138 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.88% while the tape has faded 19.2 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
14% hit rate · 383 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$141.38 → $141.38
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$141.38 → $141.38
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$140.80 → $140.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$141.31 → $141.31
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $160 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about EOG
Why did the score drop from +22 to +14 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +21.6 on 3 Oct, then fell to +13.6 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $141.38 to $141.38. It’s at +13.6 now.+5.2 from volume and +8.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 09:33 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our EOG record what it is? What’s the $160 wall?