ET Energy Transfer LP
$20.74 · +0.00% vs $20.74 close · scored 09:34 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.6 composite−15.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
12,396 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+26.1 pts
8,809 calls · 71.1% 3,587 puts
bias +42.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+19.4 pts
149,163 call OI · 75.6% 48,171 put OI
bias +51.2 × 0.38
Equals
+45.6
57% of the score comes from today’s volume, 43% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.42% · tape −6.6 · corr -0.26
● peak +67 ▼ low +45.6 ◆ −15.3 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $22 $20 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.42% while the tape has faded 6.6 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 81 · 12,396 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led ET’s price by 2 days (r=-0.26, n=45)
against Our record on ET is poor 16% hit rate on 1097 closed calls · payoff 2.08×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $20.74. The $22 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 52,312). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
16%
hit rate · 1097 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$20.47 → $20.47
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$20.47 → $20.47
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$20.02 → $20.02
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.10
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 359 of these 1097 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 13.49 · fwd 12.17 Beta 0.627
52w $16.18–$21.84 IV rank —
Ask about ET answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +53 to +46 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +60.9 on 3 Oct, then fell to +45.6 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $20.47 to $20.47. It’s at +45.6 now.+26.1 from volume and +19.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 09:34 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our ET record what it is? What’s the $22 wall?
What our data projects
−0.23 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#433 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $22 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Energy Transfer LP · Energy
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +46
+26.1 volume · 71% calls+19.4 OI · 76% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −15.3 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $22 $20 Price −4.42%, tape −6.6 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 81 · 12,396 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
against Our record on ET is poor 16% hit rate on 1097 closed calls · payoff 2.08×
What traded today · 62%
+26.1 pts
8,809 calls · 3,587 puts · bias +42.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+19.4 pts
149,163 call OI · 48,171 put OI · bias +51.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.42% · tape −6.6 · corr -0.26
● peak +67 ▼ low +45.6 ◆ −15.3 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $22 $20 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.42% while the tape has faded 6.6 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
16% hit rate · 1097 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$20.47 → $20.47
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$20.47 → $20.47
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$20.02 → $20.02
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.10
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $22 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ET
Why did the score drop from +53 to +46 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +60.9 on 3 Oct, then fell to +45.6 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $20.47 to $20.47. It’s at +45.6 now.+26.1 from volume and +19.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 09:34 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our ET record what it is? What’s the $22 wall?