FCEL Fuelcell Energy Inc
$18.07 · +0.00% vs $18.07 close · scored 02:29 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.2 composite−8.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
8,231 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+34.8 pts
6,427 calls · 78.1% 1,804 puts
bias +56.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.4 pts
45,647 call OI · 63.7% 26,012 put OI
bias +27.4 × 0.38
Equals
+45.2
77% of the score comes from today’s volume, 23% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +1.75% · tape +0.2 · corr 0.24
▼ low −11.4 ● peak +68 ◆ +37.0 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $19 $14 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 1.75% while the tape has barely moved (+0.2). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 8,231 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=50)
against Our record on FCEL is poor 24% hit rate on 723 closed calls · payoff 0.41×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $18.07. The $20 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 11,738). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on FCEL Proof 4 Oct · 4h
$18.47 → $18.47
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$18.47 → $18.47
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$17.34 → $17.34
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$16.57 → $16.57
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 371 of these 723 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.458
52w $5.71–$37.88 IV rank —
Ask about FCEL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +55 to +45 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +53.4 on 2 Oct, then fell to +30.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $16.57 to $18.47. It’s at +45.2 now.+34.8 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 02:29 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our FCEL record what it is? What’s the $20 wall?
What our data projects
+0.80 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#24 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Fuelcell Energy Inc · Electrical Equipment
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +45
+34.8 volume · 78% calls+10.4 OI · 64% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +37.0 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $19 $14 Price +1.75%, tape +0.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 8,231 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+34.8 pts
6,427 calls · 1,804 puts · bias +56.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.4 pts
45,647 call OI · 26,012 put OI · bias +27.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +1.75% · tape +0.2 · corr 0.24
▼ low −11.4 ● peak +68 ◆ +37.0 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $19 $14 Over 30 days, price has risen 1.75% while the tape has barely moved (+0.2). They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
24% hit rate · 723 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$18.47 → $18.47
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$18.47 → $18.47
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$17.34 → $17.34
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$16.57 → $16.57
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FCEL
Why did the score drop from +55 to +45 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +53.4 on 2 Oct, then fell to +30.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $16.57 to $18.47. It’s at +45.2 now.+34.8 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 02:29 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our FCEL record what it is? What’s the $20 wall?