SMR Nuscale Power Corp
$7.75 · +0.00% vs $7.75 close · scored 04:26 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 73/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 73/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.0 composite−26.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
73 / 100 · top 11% today
23,718 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.3 pts
15,159 calls · 63.9% 8,559 puts
bias +27.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.8 pts
106,867 call OI · 62.8% 63,220 put OI
bias +25.7 × 0.38
Equals
+27.0
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −30.68% · tape −9.9 · corr 0.12
● peak +55 ▼ low +4.9 ◆ +48.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $11 $8 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 30.68% while the tape has faded 9.9 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 73 (89th pct) · quality 82 · 23,718 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led SMR’s price by 3 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on SMR is poor 31% hit rate on 465 closed calls · payoff 2.70×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $7.75. The $11 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 37,485). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
3 Oct · 4h
$7.75 → $7.75
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.78 → $7.78
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.79 → $7.79
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$7.82 → $7.82
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 238 of these 465 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.401
52w $7.21–$57.42 IV rank —
Ask about SMR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +5 to +27 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +4.9 on 1 Oct, then rose to +53.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $7.99 to $7.79. It’s at +27.0 now.+17.3 from volume and +9.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 04:26 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our SMR record what it is? What’s the $11 wall?
What our data projects
+0.35 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#109 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $11 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Nuscale Power Corp · Electrical Equipment
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +27
+17.3 volume · 64% calls+9.8 OI · 63% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +48.5 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $11 $8 Price −30.68%, tape −9.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 73 (89th pct) · quality 82 · 23,718 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+17.3 pts
15,159 calls · 8,559 puts · bias +27.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.8 pts
106,867 call OI · 63,220 put OI · bias +25.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −30.68% · tape −9.9 · corr 0.12
● peak +55 ▼ low +4.9 ◆ +48.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $11 $8 Over 30 days, price has fallen 30.68% while the tape has faded 9.9 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
31% hit rate · 465 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$7.75 → $7.75
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.78 → $7.78
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.79 → $7.79
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$7.82 → $7.82
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $11 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SMR
Why did the score rise from +5 to +27 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +4.9 on 1 Oct, then rose to +53.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $7.99 to $7.79. It’s at +27.0 now.+17.3 from volume and +9.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 04:26 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our SMR record what it is? What’s the $11 wall?