FOXA Fox Corp
$62.70 · +0.00% vs $62.70 close · scored 01:43 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 63/100
What changed
Composite weakened 7.2 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.9 composite┆ +34.0 yesterday (−7.2) −40.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
3,735 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.68
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.2 pts
2,234 calls · 59.8% 1,501 puts
bias +19.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.7 pts
20,813 call OI · 69.3% 9,201 put OI
bias +38.7 × 0.38
Equals
+26.9
45% of the score comes from today’s volume, 55% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.17% · tape +73.3 · corr -0.20
▼ low −49.1 ◆ −106.6 in a day ● peak +71 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-08 $70 $60 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.17% while the tape has firmed 73.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 74 · 3,735 contracts
note Jumpy 0.68 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led FOXA’s price by 2 days (r=0.24, n=43)
against Our record on FOXA is poor 18% hit rate on 349 closed calls · payoff 1.29×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $62.70 highlighted. The $70 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 7,861). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on FOXA Proof 8 Oct · 4h
$62.70 → $62.70
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$62.28 → $62.28
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$62.28 → $62.28
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$60.15 → $60.15
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 165 of these 349 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 14.93 · fwd 10.90 Beta 0.639
52w $48.34–$76.39 IV rank —
Ask about FOXA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +49 to +27 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +69.8 on 3 Oct, then fell to +34.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $62.28 to $62.28. It’s at +26.9 now.+12.2 from volume and +14.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 01:43 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our FOXA record what it is? What’s the $70 wall?
What our data projects
−0.48 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#561 of 635. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $70 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Fox Corp · Media
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.9 ┆ +34.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +27
+12.2 volume · 60% calls+14.7 OI · 69% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −106.6 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-08 $70 $60 Price −4.17%, tape +73.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 74 · 3,735 contracts
note Jumpy 0.68 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
against Our record on FOXA is poor 18% hit rate on 349 closed calls · payoff 1.29×
What traded today · 62%
+12.2 pts
2,234 calls · 1,501 puts · bias +19.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.7 pts
20,813 call OI · 9,201 put OI · bias +38.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.17% · tape +73.3 · corr -0.20
▼ low −49.1 ◆ −106.6 in a day ● peak +71 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-08 $70 $60 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.17% while the tape has firmed 73.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
18% hit rate · 349 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$62.70 → $62.70
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$62.28 → $62.28
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$62.28 → $62.28
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$60.15 → $60.15
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $70 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FOXA
Why did the score drop from +49 to +27 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +69.8 on 3 Oct, then fell to +34.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $62.28 to $62.28. It’s at +26.9 now.+12.2 from volume and +14.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 01:43 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our FOXA record what it is? What’s the $70 wall?