FRO Frontline PLC
$56.48 · +0.16% vs $56.39 close · scored 14:32 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 62/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−5.0 composite+8.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 32% today
27,539 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.53% · n=4,464
What traded today · weight 62%
−6.8 pts
12,250 calls · 44.5% 15,289 puts
bias −11.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.8 pts
88,856 call OI · 52.4% 80,706 put OI
bias +4.8 × 0.38
Equals
−5.0
79% of the score comes from today’s volume, 21% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +20.96% · tape −39.5 · corr -0.06
▼ low −49.2 ● peak +60 ◆ +73.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $56 $44 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 20.96% while the tape has faded 39.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 82 · 27,539 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 92
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.53% avg, n=4,464
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led FRO’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.33, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on FRO is mixed 42% hit rate on 375 closed calls · payoff 2.38×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $56.48 highlighted. The $54.20 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 29,231).
9 Oct · 4h
$56.48 → $56.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$56.26 → $56.48
+0.39% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$56.26 → $56.48
+0.39% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$56.26 → $56.48
+0.39% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 148 of these 375 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 8.43 · fwd 8.12 Beta 0.235
52w $20.47–$54.91 IV rank —
Ask about FRO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −14 to −5 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −13.6 on 4 Oct, then rose to +59.8 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $51.76 to $51.76. It’s at −5.0 now.−6.8 from volume and +1.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our FRO record what it is? What’s the $54.2 wall?
What our data projects
−0.10 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#386 of 724 · helped by quality, tape composite, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $54.2 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Frontline PLC · Energy
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−5.0 evidence
neutral · −0.53% · n=4,464
Why it’s −5
−6.8 volume · 44% calls+1.8 OI · 52% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +73.5 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $56 $44 Price +20.96%, tape −39.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 82 · 27,539 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 92
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.53% avg, n=4,464
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led FRO’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.33, n=42)
What traded today · 62%
−6.8 pts
12,250 calls · 15,289 puts · bias −11.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.8 pts
88,856 call OI · 80,706 put OI · bias +4.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +20.96% · tape −39.5 · corr -0.06
▼ low −49.2 ● peak +60 ◆ +73.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $56 $44 Over 30 days, price has risen 20.96% while the tape has faded 39.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
42% hit rate · 375 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$56.48 → $56.48
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$56.26 → $56.48
+0.39% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$56.26 → $56.48
+0.39% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$56.26 → $56.48
+0.39% hit
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $54.2 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FRO
Why did the score rise from −14 to −5 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −13.6 on 4 Oct, then rose to +59.8 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $51.76 to $51.76. It’s at −5.0 now.−6.8 from volume and +1.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our FRO record what it is? What’s the $54.2 wall?