GOOGL Alphabet Inc
$348.61 · +0.00% vs $348.61 close · scored 12:51 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 83/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 83/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.0 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
83 / 100 · top 3% today
494,883 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+19.9 pts
326,930 calls · 66.1% 167,953 puts
bias +32.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.1 pts
747,781 call OI · 68.6% 342,945 put OI
bias +37.1 × 0.38
Equals
+34.0
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.43% · tape −14.3 · corr -0.17
▼ low +11.0 ◆ −23.3 in a day ● peak +48 08-18 08-26 09-03 09-11 09-19 09-27 10-05 10-10 $355 $331 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 5.43% while the tape has faded 14.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 83 (97th pct) · quality 85 · 494,883 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led GOOGL’s price by 3 days (r=-0.26, n=52)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on GOOGL is poor 20% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.29×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $348.61. The $375 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 78,983). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on GOOGL Proof 20%
hit rate · 2000 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$343.50 → $343.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$344.70 → $344.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$338.24 → $338.24
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$339.00 → $339.00
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1289 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 17.41 · fwd 21.39 Beta 1.204
52w $235.84–$408.61 IV rank —
Ask about GOOGL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +44 to +34 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +34.0 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $338.24 to $343.50. It’s at +34.0 now.+19.9 from volume and +14.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 12:51 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our GOOGL record what it is? What’s the $375 wall?
What our data projects
+0.19 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#171 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $375 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Alphabet Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.0 evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +34
+19.9 volume · 66% calls+14.1 OI · 69% calls
53 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −23.3 08-18 08-26 09-03 09-11 09-19 09-27 10-05 10-10 $355 $331 Price +5.43%, tape −14.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 83 (97th pct) · quality 85 · 494,883 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on GOOGL is poor 20% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.29×
What traded today · 62%
+19.9 pts
326,930 calls · 167,953 puts · bias +32.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.1 pts
747,781 call OI · 342,945 put OI · bias +37.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.43% · tape −14.3 · corr -0.17
▼ low +11.0 ◆ −23.3 in a day ● peak +48 08-18 08-26 09-03 09-11 09-19 09-27 10-05 10-10 $355 $331 Over 30 days, price has risen 5.43% while the tape has faded 14.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
20% hit rate · 2000 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$343.50 → $343.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$344.70 → $344.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$338.24 → $338.24
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$339.00 → $339.00
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $375 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about GOOGL
Why did the score drop from +44 to +34 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +34.0 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $338.24 to $343.50. It’s at +34.0 now.+19.9 from volume and +14.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 12:51 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our GOOGL record what it is? What’s the $375 wall?