GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd
$3.18 · +0.00% vs $3.18 close · scored 06:47 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 78/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 78/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+65.6 composite+35.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
78 / 100 · top 5% today
48,886 contracts · quality 83 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+40.2 pts
40,272 calls · 82.4% 8,614 puts
bias +64.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+25.5 pts
1,860,041 call OI · 83.5% 367,244 put OI
bias +67.0 × 0.38
Equals
+65.6
61% of the score comes from today’s volume, 39% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.06% · tape +39.3 · corr -0.06
● peak +77 ◆ −64.4 in a day ▼ low −21.0 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $3 $3 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.06% while the tape has firmed 39.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 83 · 48,886 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led GRAB’s price by 3 days (r=0.19, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on GRAB is poor 15% hit rate on 400 closed calls · payoff 0.35×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $3.18 highlighted. The $3 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 355,967). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on GRAB Proof 6 Oct · 4h
$3.18 → $3.18
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$3.12 → $3.12
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$3.12 → $3.12
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$3.13 → $3.13
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 172 of these 400 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 21.04 · fwd 18.83 Beta 0.823
52w $2.74–$6.60 IV rank —
Ask about GRAB answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −21 to +66 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was −21.0 on 1 Oct, then rose to +29.8 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $3.11 to $3.12. It’s at +65.6 now.+40.2 from volume and +25.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 06:47 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our GRAB record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?
What our data projects
+0.38 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#101 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Grab Holdings Ltd · Road & Rail
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+65.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +66
+40.2 volume · 82% calls+25.5 OI · 84% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −64.4 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $3 $3 Price −7.06%, tape +39.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 83 · 48,886 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+40.2 pts
40,272 calls · 8,614 puts · bias +64.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+25.5 pts
1,860,041 call OI · 367,244 put OI · bias +67.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.06% · tape +39.3 · corr -0.06
● peak +77 ◆ −64.4 in a day ▼ low −21.0 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $3 $3 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.06% while the tape has firmed 39.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
15% hit rate · 400 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$3.18 → $3.18
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$3.12 → $3.12
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$3.12 → $3.12
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$3.13 → $3.13
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about GRAB
Why did the score rise from −21 to +66 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was −21.0 on 1 Oct, then rose to +29.8 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $3.11 to $3.12. It’s at +65.6 now.+40.2 from volume and +25.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 06:47 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our GRAB record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?