HAFN Hafnia Ltd
$10.24 · +0.00% vs $10.24 close · scored 14:14 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+51.3 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 45% today
791 contracts · quality 65 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
What traded today · weight 62%
+46.3 pts
691 calls · 87.4% 100 puts
bias +74.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.0 pts
6,619 call OI · 56.5% 5,089 put OI
bias +13.1 × 0.38
Equals
+51.3
90% of the score comes from today’s volume, 10% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +9.17% · tape −9.7 · corr 0.28
● peak +78 ▼ low −51.2 ◆ −121.2 in a day 08-30 09-06 09-13 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-12 $10 $8 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 9.17% while the tape has faded 9.7 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (55th pct) · quality 65 · 791 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
pass Tape has led price tape has led HAFN’s price by 3 days (r=0.26, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on HAFN is mixed 43% hit rate on 324 closed calls · payoff 2.10×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $10.24. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,501).
05 Our record on HAFN Proof 3 Oct · 4h
$10.24 → $10.24
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$10.07 → $10.00
−0.70% miss
2 Oct · 4h
$10.07 → $10.07
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$10.05 → $10.05
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 148 of these 324 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 7.54 · fwd 9.51 Beta 0.416
52w $51.70–$100.40 IV rank —
Ask about HAFN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +51.3?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +51.3 across the last 8 sessions.+46.3 from volume and +5.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:14 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our HAFN record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?
What our data projects
+0.30 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#140 of 799 · helped by call/put volume tilt, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Hafnia Ltd · Energy
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+51.3 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
Why it’s +51
+46.3 volume · 87% calls+5.0 OI · 57% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −121.2 08-30 09-06 09-13 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-12 $10 $8 Price +9.17%, tape −9.7 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (55th pct) · quality 65 · 791 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+46.3 pts
691 calls · 100 puts · bias +74.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.0 pts
6,619 call OI · 5,089 put OI · bias +13.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +9.17% · tape −9.7 · corr 0.28
● peak +78 ▼ low −51.2 ◆ −121.2 in a day 08-30 09-06 09-13 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-12 $10 $8 Over 30 days, price has risen 9.17% while the tape has faded 9.7 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
43% hit rate · 324 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$10.24 → $10.24
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$10.07 → $10.00
−0.70% miss
2 Oct · 4h
$10.07 → $10.07
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$10.05 → $10.05
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HAFN
What is behind today’s +51.3?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +51.3 across the last 8 sessions.+46.3 from volume and +5.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:14 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our HAFN record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?