HAL Halliburton Co
$32.57 · +0.00% vs $32.57 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 66/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+41.6 composite−9.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 22% today
3,721 contracts · quality 79 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+24.4 pts
2,593 calls · 69.7% 1,128 puts
bias +39.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+17.2 pts
61,188 call OI · 72.7% 23,033 put OI
bias +45.3 × 0.38
Equals
+41.6
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −12.14% · tape +25.4 · corr -0.57
● peak +75 ▼ low −23.5 ◆ −67.2 in a day 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-09 $38 $32 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 12.14% while the tape has firmed 25.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 79 · 3,721 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led HAL’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.29, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
pass Our record on HAL is good 66% hit rate on 1177 closed calls · payoff 0.96×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $32.57 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 26,107). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
66%
hit rate · 1177 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 196 of these 1177 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 16.56 · fwd 12.00 Beta 0.792
52w $21.46–$43.59 IV rank —
Ask about HAL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +52 to +42 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +63.4 on 5 Oct, then fell to −3.8 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $31.85 to $33.07. It’s at +41.6 now.+24.4 from volume and +17.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our HAL record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?
What our data projects
−0.05 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#338 of 724 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Halliburton Co · Energy
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+41.6 evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +42
+24.4 volume · 70% calls+17.2 OI · 73% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −67.2 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-09 $38 $32 Price −12.14%, tape +25.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 79 · 3,721 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led HAL’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.29, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+24.4 pts
2,593 calls · 1,128 puts · bias +39.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+17.2 pts
61,188 call OI · 23,033 put OI · bias +45.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −12.14% · tape +25.4 · corr -0.57
● peak +75 ▼ low −23.5 ◆ −67.2 in a day 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-09 $38 $32 Over 30 days, price has fallen 12.14% while the tape has firmed 25.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
66% hit rate · 1177 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$32.57 → $32.57
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HAL
Why did the score drop from +52 to +42 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +63.4 on 5 Oct, then fell to −3.8 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $31.85 to $33.07. It’s at +41.6 now.+24.4 from volume and +17.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our HAL record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?