HES
Hess Corp
$148.97 · +0.00% vs $148.97 close · scored 09:57 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 51/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 51/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−37.5 composite┆ −37.5 yesterday (+0.0)+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
51 / 100 · top 60% today
0 contracts · quality 66 · stability 1.00
has paid −2.54% · n=2,404
No call/put volume stored for today, so the score can’t be split.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −7.07% · tape +0.0
Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.07% while the tape has barely moved (+0.0). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 51 (40th pct) · quality 66 · 0 contracts
passStable1.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −2.54% avg, n=2,404
noteStretched vs its own historytoday’s tape sits high relative to price
againstOur record on HES is poor0% hit rate on 278 closed calls
04
Where the positions sit
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $148.97. The $150 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 34,167). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
24 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
24 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
23 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
22 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 278 of these 278 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street MixedNext report —
P/E 20.69 · fwd 16.64Beta 0.731
52w $113.91–$167.70IV rank —
Hess Corp · Energy
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−37.5┆ −37.5 ydayevidence 51
has paid −2.54% · n=2,404
14 days · tape bars, price line
Price −7.07%, tape +0.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 51 (40th pct) · quality 66 · 0 contracts
passStable
1.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteStretched vs its own history
today’s tape sits high relative to price
againstOur record on HES is poor
0% hit rate on 278 closed calls
No call/put volume stored for today.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −7.07% · tape +0.0
Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.07% while the tape has barely moved (+0.0). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
0% hit rate · 278 closed
24 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
24 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
23 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
22 Sep · 4h
$160.31 → $160.31
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $150 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about HES
What is behind today’s −37.5?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of −37.5 across the last 8 sessions.
tape_history · 39 ptsstock_scores · 09:57method · 62/38