HOOD Robinhood Markets Inc
$112.74 · +5.35% vs $107.01 close · scored 07:43 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 77/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 77/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.1 composite+5.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
77 / 100 · top 6% today
128,773 contracts · quality 83 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+35.1 pts
100,880 calls · 78.3% 27,893 puts
bias +56.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.9 pts
215,726 call OI · 52.5% 194,990 put OI
bias +5.0 × 0.38
Equals
+37.1
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.74% · tape +5.2 · corr -0.10
▼ low +20.3 ◆ +8.5 in a day ● peak +37 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $119 $107 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.74% while the tape has firmed 5.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 77 (94th pct) · quality 83 · 128,773 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led HOOD’s price by 2 days (r=0.24, n=52)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on HOOD is poor 28% hit rate on 799 closed calls · payoff 5.63×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $112.74 highlighted. The $120 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 28,271). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on HOOD Proof 10 Oct · 4h
$112.74 → $112.74
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$109.02 → $112.74
+3.41% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$109.10 → $109.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$109.02 → $109.10
+0.07% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 408 of these 799 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 48.92 · fwd 46.55 Beta 2.484
52w $63.52–$153.86 IV rank —
Ask about HOOD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +31 to +37 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +26.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +32.3 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $112.74 to $107.01. It’s at +37.1 now.+35.1 from volume and +1.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 07:43 method · 62/38
Compare with PYPL Why is our HOOD record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?
What our data projects
+0.34 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#117 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Robinhood Markets Inc · Financial Services
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.1 evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +37
+35.1 volume · 78% calls+1.9 OI · 53% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +8.5 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $119 $107 Price −7.74%, tape +5.2 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 77 (94th pct) · quality 83 · 128,773 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on HOOD is poor 28% hit rate on 799 closed calls · payoff 5.63×
What traded today · 62%
+35.1 pts
100,880 calls · 27,893 puts · bias +56.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.9 pts
215,726 call OI · 194,990 put OI · bias +5.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.74% · tape +5.2 · corr -0.10
▼ low +20.3 ◆ +8.5 in a day ● peak +37 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $119 $107 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.74% while the tape has firmed 5.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
28% hit rate · 799 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$112.74 → $112.74
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$109.02 → $112.74
+3.41% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$109.10 → $109.10
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$109.02 → $109.10
+0.07% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HOOD
Why did the score rise from +31 to +37 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +26.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +32.3 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $112.74 to $107.01. It’s at +37.1 now.+35.1 from volume and +1.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 07:43 method · 62/38
Compare with PYPL Why is our HOOD record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?