IONQ IONQ Inc
$39.89 · −7.85% vs $43.29 close · scored 10:32 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 75/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 75/100
For the read
signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−3.1 composite┆ −3.1 yesterday (+0.0) −31.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
75 / 100 · top 8% today
32,221 contracts · quality 93 · stability 0.90
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
−2.9 pts
15,350 calls · 47.6% 16,871 puts
bias −4.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.2 pts
95,508 call OI · 49.8% 96,282 put OI
bias −0.4 × 0.38
Equals
−3.1
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.43% · tape −28.2 · corr 0.06
▼ low −23.7 ◆ −35.5 in a day ● peak +54 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-10 $46 $37 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.43% while the tape has faded 28.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 93 · 32,221 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
pass Tape has led price tape has led IONQ’s price by 3 days (r=0.38, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on IONQ is mixed 35% hit rate on 710 closed calls · payoff 1.30×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $39.89 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 35,394). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on IONQ Proof 10 Oct · 4h
$39.89 → $39.89
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$45.48 → $39.89
−12.29% miss
10 Oct · 4h
$39.89 → $39.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$39.89 → $39.89
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 305 of these 710 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 54.61 Beta 3.346
52w $25.89–$84.64 IV rank —
Ask about IONQ answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +29 to −3 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +28.0 on 7 Oct, then fell to +1.0 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $43.29 to $43.29. It’s at −3.1 now.−2.9 from volume and −0.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our IONQ record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?
What our data projects
+0.96 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#5 of 635 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
IONQ Inc · Technology
Neutral, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−3.1 ┆ −3.1 yday evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s −3
−2.9 volume · 48% calls−0.2 OI · 50% calls
51 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −35.5 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-10 $46 $37 Price −1.43%, tape −28.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 93 · 32,221 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−2.9 pts
15,350 calls · 16,871 puts · bias −4.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.2 pts
95,508 call OI · 96,282 put OI · bias −0.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.43% · tape −28.2 · corr 0.06
▼ low −23.7 ◆ −35.5 in a day ● peak +54 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-10 $46 $37 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.43% while the tape has faded 28.2 points. They agree.
35% hit rate · 710 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$39.89 → $39.89
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$45.48 → $39.89
−12.29% miss
10 Oct · 4h
$39.89 → $39.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$39.89 → $39.89
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about IONQ
Why did the score drop from +29 to −3 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +28.0 on 7 Oct, then fell to +1.0 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $43.29 to $43.29. It’s at −3.1 now.−2.9 from volume and −0.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our IONQ record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?