SPY has the strongest read; IWM has the most behind it.
Two lean bullish, one bearish. The difference is evidence and record: IWM’s read rests on 153,663 contracts but our 4h record on it is 19%; SPY’s bucket has paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bullish | Mildly bullish | Mildly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | |||
| Composite | +17.3 | +14.5 | −19.5 |
| Evidence | 87 | 67 | 80 |
| Quality | 94 | 90 | 85 |
| Price | $278.94 | $711.28 | $776.93 |
| Contracts today | 153,663 | 3,283 | 14,221,662 |
| Calibration | has paid +1.11% · n=9,211 | hasn’t paid −1.04% · n=9,387 | has paid −0.16% · n=298 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | |||
| Our record here, 4h | 19% of 2,000 checked | 21% of 651 checked | 3% of 1,123 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
IWMVOOSPYtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.