JFIN Jiayin Group Inc
$1.33 · +0.76% vs $1.32 close · scored 15:46 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 45/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.3 composite┆ +34.3 yesterday (+0.0) +66.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 65% today
64 contracts · quality 49 · stability 0.65
has paid +39.23% · n=9,275
What traded today · weight 62%
+1.9 pts
33 calls · 51.6% 31 puts
bias +3.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+32.4 pts
2,779 call OI · 92.6% 222 put OI
bias +85.2 × 0.38
Equals
+34.3
6% of the score comes from today’s volume, 94% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −18.01% · tape +64.3 · corr 0.29
▼ low −86.7 ● peak +96 ◆ −124.0 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $2 $1 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 18.01% while the tape has firmed 64.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 45 (35th pct) · quality 49 · 64 contracts
note Jumpy 0.65 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +39.23% avg, n=9,275
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led JFIN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.21, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on JFIN is poor 12% hit rate on 590 closed calls · payoff 0.65×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $1.33 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,569). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on JFIN Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$1.33 → $1.33
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$1.32 → $1.33
+0.76% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.32 → $1.33
+0.76% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.32 → $1.33
+0.76% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 392 of these 590 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 1.98 · fwd 0.30 Beta 0.880
52w $1.26–$11.64 IV rank —
Ask about JFIN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −32 to +34 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −31.7 on 7 Oct, then rose to +34.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $1.32 to $1.36. It’s at +34.3 now.+1.9 from volume and +32.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 15:46 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our JFIN record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.55 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#826 of 855 · helped by volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Jiayin Group Inc · Financial Services
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.3 ┆ +34.3 yday evidence
has paid +39.23% · n=9,275
Why it’s +34
+1.9 volume · 52% calls+32.4 OI · 93% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −124.0 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $2 $1 Price −18.01%, tape +64.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 45 (35th pct) · quality 49 · 64 contracts
note Jumpy 0.65 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led JFIN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.21, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+1.9 pts
33 calls · 31 puts · bias +3.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+32.4 pts
2,779 call OI · 222 put OI · bias +85.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −18.01% · tape +64.3 · corr 0.29
▼ low −86.7 ● peak +96 ◆ −124.0 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $2 $1 Over 30 days, price has fallen 18.01% while the tape has firmed 64.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
12% hit rate · 590 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$1.33 → $1.33
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$1.32 → $1.33
+0.76% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.32 → $1.33
+0.76% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.32 → $1.33
+0.76% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about JFIN
Why did the score rise from −32 to +34 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −31.7 on 7 Oct, then rose to +34.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $1.32 to $1.36. It’s at +34.3 now.+1.9 from volume and +32.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 15:46 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our JFIN record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?