LIN Linde PLC
$481.70 · +0.00% vs $481.70 close · scored 14:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+20.6 composite+36.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 64% today
777 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
What traded today · weight 62%
+22.7 pts
531 calls · 68.3% 246 puts
bias +36.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−2.2 pts
9,234 call OI · 47.1% 10,351 put OI
bias −5.7 × 0.38
Equals
+20.6
91% of the score comes from today’s volume, 9% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.86% · tape +34.8 · corr -0.21
● peak +51 ◆ −98.6 in a day ▼ low −51.8 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $490 $458 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.86% while the tape has firmed 34.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (36th pct) · quality 77 · 777 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led LIN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.34, n=50)
against Our record on LIN is poor 14% hit rate on 1433 closed calls · payoff 1.18×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $481.70 highlighted. The $460 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,434).
14%
hit rate · 1433 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$481.70 → $481.70
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$479.74 → $481.70
+0.41% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$481.70 → $481.70
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$481.70 → $481.70
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1095 of these 1433 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 30.65 · fwd 24.40 Beta 0.699
52w $387.78–$548.20 IV rank —
Ask about LIN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +6 to +21 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.8 on 8 Oct, then rose to +20.6 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $479.48 to $481.70. It’s at +20.6 now. Today’s +20.6 breaks down as +22.7 from volume and −2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:48 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our LIN record what it is? What’s the $460 wall?
What our data projects
−0.53 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#588 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $460 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Linde PLC · Chemicals
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+20.6 evidence 49
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
Why it’s +21
+22.7 volume · 68% calls−2.2 OI · 47% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −98.6 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $490 $458
Price +0.86%, tape +34.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (36th pct) · quality 77 · 777 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led LIN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.34, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+22.7 pts
531 calls · 246 puts · bias +36.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−2.2 pts
9,234 call OI · 10,351 put OI · bias −5.7
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.86% · tape +34.8 · corr -0.21
● peak +51 ◆ −98.6 in a day ▼ low −51.8 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $490 $458 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.86% while the tape has firmed 34.8 points. They agree.
14% hit rate · 1433 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$481.70 → $481.70
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$479.74 → $481.70
+0.41% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$481.70 → $481.70
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$481.70 → $481.70
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $460 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about LIN
Why did the score rise from +6 to +21 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.8 on 8 Oct, then rose to +20.6 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $479.48 to $481.70. It’s at +20.6 now. Today’s +20.6 breaks down as +22.7 from volume and −2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:48 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our LIN record what it is? What’s the $460 wall?