LYV Live Nation Entertainment Inc
$173.39 · +1.43% vs $170.95 close · scored 15:47 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 52/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.4 composite┆ +29.4 yesterday (+0.0) +52.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 58% today
1,103 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.71
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+32.8 pts
843 calls · 76.4% 260 puts
bias +52.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.4 pts
3,608 call OI · 45.5% 4,317 put OI
bias −8.9 × 0.38
Equals
+29.4
91% of the score comes from today’s volume, 9% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.29% · tape +8.8 · corr -0.30
▼ low −22.9 ◆ +51.7 in a day ● peak +43 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $172 $167 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.29% while the tape has firmed 8.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (42th pct) · quality 82 · 1,103 contracts
note Jumpy 0.71 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led LYV’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.29, n=44)
against Our record on LYV is poor 31% hit rate on 392 closed calls · payoff 1.25×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $173.39 highlighted. The $160 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,763). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$173.39 → $173.39
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$170.95 → $173.39
+1.43% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$171.34 → $173.39
+1.20% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$171.34 → $173.39
+1.20% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 172 of these 392 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 299.86 · fwd 81.44 Beta 1.168
52w $125.34–$189.25 IV rank —
Ask about LYV answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +26 to +29 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −22.9 on 2 Oct, then rose to +28.8 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $166.85 to $168.77. It’s at +29.4 now.+32.8 from volume and −3.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:47 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our LYV record what it is? What’s the $160 wall?
What our data projects
−0.50 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#568 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $160 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Live Nation Entertainment Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.4 ┆ +29.4 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +29
+32.8 volume · 76% calls−3.4 OI · 46% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +51.7 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $172 $167 Price +0.29%, tape +8.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (42th pct) · quality 82 · 1,103 contracts
note Jumpy 0.71 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led LYV’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.29, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+32.8 pts
843 calls · 260 puts · bias +52.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.4 pts
3,608 call OI · 4,317 put OI · bias −8.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.29% · tape +8.8 · corr -0.30
▼ low −22.9 ◆ +51.7 in a day ● peak +43 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $172 $167 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.29% while the tape has firmed 8.8 points. They agree.
31% hit rate · 392 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$173.39 → $173.39
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$170.95 → $173.39
+1.43% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$171.34 → $173.39
+1.20% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$171.34 → $173.39
+1.20% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $160 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about LYV
Why did the score rise from +26 to +29 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −22.9 on 2 Oct, then rose to +28.8 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $166.85 to $168.77. It’s at +29.4 now.+32.8 from volume and −3.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:47 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our LYV record what it is? What’s the $160 wall?