META Meta Platforms Inc
$740.11 · +2.67% vs $720.89 close · scored 14:19 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 83/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 83/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.9 composite+2.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
83 / 100 · top 3% today
263,820 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.39% · n=12,125
What traded today · weight 62%
+22.7 pts
180,212 calls · 68.3% 83,608 puts
bias +36.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.2 pts
131,342 call OI · 66.1% 67,343 put OI
bias +32.2 × 0.38
Equals
+34.9
65% of the score comes from today’s volume, 35% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +17.51% · tape +10.5 · corr 0.08
● peak +45 ▼ low +10.0 ◆ −16.3 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $776 $570 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 17.51% while the tape has firmed 10.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 83 (97th pct) · quality 84 · 263,820 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.39% avg, n=12,125
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led META’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.22, n=44)
against Our record on META is poor 22% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.39×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $740.11 highlighted. The $740 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 13,244). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on META Proof 22%
hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$740.11 → $740.11
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$720.89 → $740.11
+2.67% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$720.89 → $740.11
+2.67% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$720.89 → $740.11
+2.67% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1098 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 27.24 · fwd 22.28 Beta 1.254
52w $520.26–$779.82 IV rank —
Ask about META answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +34.9?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 2.4 points of +34.9 across the last 8 sessions.+22.7 from volume and +12.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:19 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our META record what it is? What’s the $740 wall?
What our data projects
+0.30 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#129 of 724 · helped by quality, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $740 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Meta Platforms Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.9 evidence
has paid +1.39% · n=12,125
Why it’s +35
+22.7 volume · 68% calls+12.2 OI · 66% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −16.3 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $776 $570 Price +17.51%, tape +10.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 83 (97th pct) · quality 84 · 263,820 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led META’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.22, n=44)
against Our record on META is poor 22% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.39×
What traded today · 62%
+22.7 pts
180,212 calls · 83,608 puts · bias +36.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.2 pts
131,342 call OI · 67,343 put OI · bias +32.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +17.51% · tape +10.5 · corr 0.08
● peak +45 ▼ low +10.0 ◆ −16.3 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $776 $570 Over 30 days, price has risen 17.51% while the tape has firmed 10.5 points. They agree.
22% hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$740.11 → $740.11
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$720.89 → $740.11
+2.67% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$720.89 → $740.11
+2.67% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$720.89 → $740.11
+2.67% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $740 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about META
What is behind today’s +34.9?
The composite has held within 2.4 points of +34.9 across the last 8 sessions.+22.7 from volume and +12.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:19 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our META record what it is? What’s the $740 wall?