MRO Marathon Oil Corp
$28.55 · +0.00% vs $28.55 close · scored 09:56 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 68/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 68/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 composite┆ +36.6 yesterday (+0.0) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
68 / 100 · top 17% today
2,713 contracts · quality 93 · stability 1.00
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+34.8 pts
2,118 calls · 78.1% 595 puts
bias +56.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.8 pts
63,236 call OI · 52.4% 57,519 put OI
bias +4.7 × 0.38
Equals
+36.6
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −0.10% · tape +0.0 · corr 0.00
▼ low +36.6 ● peak +37 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $29 $29 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.10% while the tape has barely moved (+0.0). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 93 · 2,713 contracts
pass Stable 1.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on MRO is poor 0% hit rate on 240 closed calls
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $28.55. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 28,146). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
24 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
23 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
23 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
22 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 240 of these 240 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 12.01 · fwd 10.28 Beta 0.317
52w $20.57–$31.09 IV rank —
Ask about MRO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +36.6?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +36.6 across the last 8 sessions.+34.8 from volume and +1.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 38 pts stock_scores · 09:56 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our MRO record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?
What our data projects
+0.06 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#259 of 724 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Marathon Oil Corp · Energy
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 ┆ +36.6 yday evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +37
+34.8 volume · 78% calls+1.8 OI · 52% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $29 $29 Price −0.10%, tape +0.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 93 · 2,713 contracts
pass Stable 1.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on MRO is poor 0% hit rate on 240 closed calls
What traded today · 62%
+34.8 pts
2,118 calls · 595 puts · bias +56.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.8 pts
63,236 call OI · 57,519 put OI · bias +4.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −0.10% · tape +0.0 · corr 0.00
▼ low +36.6 ● peak +37 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $29 $29 Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.10% while the tape has barely moved (+0.0). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
0% hit rate · 240 closed
24 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
23 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
23 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
22 Sep · 4h
$28.58 → $28.58
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MRO
What is behind today’s +36.6?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +36.6 across the last 8 sessions.+34.8 from volume and +1.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 38 pts stock_scores · 09:56 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our MRO record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?